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Sozopol vs Zagorets - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sozopol host Zagorets in the Third League - South-East. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Sozopol at 1.57 goals for, 1.23 against; Zagorets at 1.37 for, 2.23 against. Head-to-head, Sozopol have won 4 to Zagorets's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 17, 2026, ending 4:0. xG projections (2.13 - 1.38) back Sozopol to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Sozopol
15%
Draws
26%
Zagorets
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sozopol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Sozopol have won more games recently than Zagorets.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Sozopol taking it.
  • Regular Third League - South-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sozopol here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Sozopol Clean Sheet 17%
Zagorets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sozopol Zagorets
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.57 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.23 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Third League - South-East
Sozopol vs Zagorets
4:0
Oct 4, 2025 Third League - South-East
Zagorets vs Sozopol
2:0
May 14, 2025 Third League - South-East
Sozopol vs Zagorets
1:0
Nov 9, 2024 Third League - South-East
Zagorets vs Sozopol
0:2
Feb 24, 2024 Third League - South-East
Sozopol vs Zagorets
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sozopol 84 / 100
Zagorets 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sozopol Zagorets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sozopol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zagorets's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Sozopol scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Sozopol went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sozopol VS Zagorets
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sozopol

(Home)
17 Oct
Lok. Plovdiv II
1 : 2
Sozopol
10 Oct
Sozopol
1 : 2
Krumovgrad
03 Oct
Maritsa Milevo
4 : 2
Sozopol
26 Sept
Sozopol
3 : 2
Sekirovo Rakovski
18 Sept
Botev II
0 : 0
Sozopol
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Zagorets

(Away)
21 Oct
Sekirovo Rakovski
1 : 2
Zagorets
17 Oct
Krumovgrad
2 : 1
Zagorets
10 Oct
Zagorets
0 : 4
Maritsa Milevo
04 Oct
Zagorets
0 : 4
Rilski Sportist
26 Sept
Zagorets
0 : 3
Botev II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krumovgrad 11 11 0 0 36:9 33
2 Maritsa Milevo 11 9 0 2 27:12 27
3 Spartak Plovdiv 10 9 0 1 25:11 27
4 OFC Haskovo 11 6 3 2 19:11 21
5 Yambol 1915 11 6 2 3 30:14 20
6 Neftochimic Burgas 10 6 1 3 20:13 19
7 Rodopa Smolyan 11 5 2 4 18:19 17
8 Sozopol 11 5 1 5 22:20 16
9 Gigant Saedinenie 11 5 1 5 20:18 16
10 Rozova Dolina 11 2 7 2 15:16 13
11 Zagorets 11 4 1 6 13:22 13
12 Dimitrovgrad 11 3 2 6 17:19 11
13 Botev II 11 2 5 4 14:18 11
14 Lok. Plovdiv II 11 2 1 8 11:32 7
15 Atletik Kuklen 10 2 1 7 10:25 7
16 Sekirovo Rakovski 11 1 3 7 19:32 6
17 Levski Karlovo 11 2 0 9 9:25 6
18 Maritsa Plovdiv 10 1 2 7 8:17 5
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