Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Sozopol host Zagorets in the Third League - South-East. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Sozopol at 1.57 goals for, 1.23 against; Zagorets at 1.37 for, 2.23 against. Head-to-head, Sozopol have won 4 to Zagorets's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 17, 2026, ending 4:0. xG projections (2.13 - 1.38) back Sozopol to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Sozopol have won more games recently than Zagorets.
- 59% — that's where the model lands on Sozopol taking it.
- Regular Third League - South-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Sozopol here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sozopol | Zagorets |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 2.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Zagorets's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.
Sozopol scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Sozopol went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Sozopol
(Home)Zagorets
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krumovgrad | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 36:9 | 33 |
| 2 | Maritsa Milevo | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 27:12 | 27 |
| 3 | Spartak Plovdiv | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 25:11 | 27 |
| 4 | OFC Haskovo | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19:11 | 21 |
| 5 | Yambol 1915 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 30:14 | 20 |
| 6 | Neftochimic Burgas | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:13 | 19 |
| 7 | Rodopa Smolyan | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18:19 | 17 |
| 8 | Sozopol | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 22:20 | 16 |
| 9 | Gigant Saedinenie | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20:18 | 16 |
| 10 | Rozova Dolina | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 15:16 | 13 |
| 11 | Zagorets | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 13:22 | 13 |
| 12 | Dimitrovgrad | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 13 | Botev II | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 14 | Lok. Plovdiv II | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11:32 | 7 |
| 15 | Atletik Kuklen | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10:25 | 7 |
| 16 | Sekirovo Rakovski | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 19:32 | 6 |
| 17 | Levski Karlovo | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 9:25 | 6 |
| 18 | Maritsa Plovdiv | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8:17 | 5 |