Sport Picks
Match Events
66'
66'
Cremonini L.
90'
90'
Vandi P.
Assist: Melandri D.
AI Match Summary
The Campionato Sammarinese game between SP Cosmos and AC Libertas finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
35%
25%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: SP Cosmos
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- SP Cosmos carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives SP Cosmos a 40% chance of winning this.
- Regular Campionato Sammarinese form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
SP Cosmos Clean Sheet 68%
AC Libertas Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SP Cosmos | AC Libertas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 11 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.12 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Cosmos vs AC Libertas
1:1
Mar 15, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
AC Libertas vs SP Cosmos
1:0
Nov 23, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Cosmos vs AC Libertas
1:1
Jan 18, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Cosmos vs AC Libertas
2:2
Aug 30, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
AC Libertas vs SP Cosmos
0:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
SP Cosmos Compare
Top Goalscorer Cremonini L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
AC Libertas Compare
Top Goalscorer Vandi P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
SP Cosmos 95 / 100
AC Libertas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
SP Cosmos AC Libertas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SP Cosmos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: AC Libertas conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.
Attacking prowess: SP Cosmos scored in 62% of their last 34 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Solid form: SP Cosmos remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
SP Cosmos VS AC Libertas
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
SP Cosmos
(Home) 13 Sept
SP Cosmos
6 : 1 SS Pennarossa
08 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 1 SP Cosmos
04 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0 SP Cosmos
29 Aug
SP Cosmos
1 : 1 AC Libertas
06 May
SP Cosmos
0 : 0 Tre Penne
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
SP Cosmos
6 : 1 SS Pennarossa
29 Aug
SP Cosmos
1 : 1 AC Libertas
06 May
SP Cosmos
0 : 0 Tre Penne
29 Apr
SP Cosmos
3 : 0 SS Pennarossa
26 Apr
SP Cosmos
2 : 0 SC Faetano
Page 1 of 4
AC Libertas
(Away) 12 Sept
Virtus
2 : 0 AC Libertas
09 Sept
AC Libertas
0 : 2 Folgore
05 Sept
AC Libertas
2 : 1 Juvenes/Dogana
29 Aug
SP Cosmos
1 : 1 AC Libertas
29 Apr
Juvenes/Dogana
1 : 1 AC Libertas
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Virtus
2 : 0 AC Libertas
29 Aug
SP Cosmos
1 : 1 AC Libertas
29 Apr
Juvenes/Dogana
1 : 1 AC Libertas
12 Apr
Tre Fiori
3 : 0 AC Libertas
21 Mar
Fiorentino
1 : 1 AC Libertas
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Folgore | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 9 |
| 4 | Virtus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 7 |
| 5 | SP Domagnano | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 6 | SP Cosmos | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 4 |
| 7 | Fiorentino | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 8 | AC Libertas | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 9 | Juvenes/Dogana | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:4 | 3 |
| 10 | La Fiorita | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 11 | San Giovanni | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 12 | SS Murata | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 13 | San Marino Academy U22 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | 2 |
| 14 | SC Faetano | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:8 | 1 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 16 | SS Pennarossa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:15 | 0 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)
