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SP Cosmos vs Juvenes/Dogana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SP Cosmos host Juvenes/Dogana in the Campionato Sammarinese. This one's hard to separate. SP Cosmos have averaged 1.16 scored and 0.81 conceded recently, against Juvenes/Dogana's 1.19 scored and 1.25 conceded. Head-to-head, SP Cosmos have won 2 to Juvenes/Dogana's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 21, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.19, favoring SP Cosmos. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
SP Cosmos
15%
Draws
20%
Juvenes/Dogana
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SP Cosmos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SP Cosmos lately — more wins on the board than Juvenes/Dogana.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on SP Cosmos taking it.
  • Regular Campionato Sammarinese form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
SP Cosmos Clean Sheet 20%
Juvenes/Dogana Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SP Cosmos Juvenes/Dogana
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 12 9
Draws 10 9
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.16 1.19
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Cosmos vs Juvenes/Dogana
0:1
Sep 13, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Juvenes/Dogana vs SP Cosmos
1:0
Apr 12, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Cosmos vs Juvenes/Dogana
0:0
Dec 15, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
Juvenes/Dogana vs SP Cosmos
1:3
Mar 2, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Cosmos vs Juvenes/Dogana
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SP Cosmos 85 / 100
Juvenes/Dogana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SP Cosmos Juvenes/Dogana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SP Cosmos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SP Cosmos scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Juvenes/Dogana conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

SP Cosmos has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SP Cosmos VS Juvenes/Dogana
1 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SP Cosmos

(Home)
18 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2
SP Cosmos
13 Sept
SP Cosmos
6 : 1
SS Pennarossa
08 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 1
SP Cosmos
04 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0
SP Cosmos
29 Aug
SP Cosmos
1 : 1
AC Libertas
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Juvenes/Dogana

(Away)
20 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0
Juvenes/Dogana
13 Sept
Juvenes/Dogana
1 : 2
Folgore
08 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 1
Juvenes/Dogana
05 Sept
AC Libertas
2 : 1
Juvenes/Dogana
28 Aug
Juvenes/Dogana
4 : 0
SC Faetano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore 4 4 0 0 10:1 12
2 Tre Penne 4 4 0 0 9:2 12
3 Virtus 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
4 Tre Fiori 4 3 0 1 14:5 9
5 SP Cosmos 4 2 1 1 9:4 7
6 SP Domagnano 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
7 La Fiorita 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
8 AC Libertas 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
9 Fiorentino 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
10 Juvenes/Dogana 4 1 0 3 6:6 3
11 Cailungo 4 1 0 3 4:5 3
12 SS Murata 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
13 San Giovanni 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
14 SS Pennarossa 4 1 0 3 7:16 3
15 San Marino Academy U22 4 0 2 2 1:5 2
16 SC Faetano 4 0 2 2 1:9 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)