Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SP Cosmos vs SS Pennarossa

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Lisi D.
Assist: Domini T.
38' Event
Guidotti R.
Assist: Cremonini L.
45' Event
Cremonini L.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

SP Cosmos in this Campionato Sammarinese matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored SP Cosmos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
SP Cosmos
20%
Draws
22%
SS Pennarossa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SP Cosmos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • SP Cosmos have won more games recently than SS Pennarossa.
  • Win probability leans SP Cosmos's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
SP Cosmos Clean Sheet 20%
SS Pennarossa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SP Cosmos SS Pennarossa
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 11 8
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.12 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.97 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Cosmos vs SS Pennarossa
6:1
Apr 29, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Cosmos vs SS Pennarossa
3:0
Apr 12, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Cosmos vs SS Pennarossa
0:1
Dec 14, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Pennarossa vs SP Cosmos
1:1
Feb 1, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Pennarossa vs SP Cosmos
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SP Cosmos Compare

Top Goalscorer Guidotti R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lisi D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

SS Pennarossa Compare

Top Goalscorer Mema M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SP Cosmos 85 / 100
SS Pennarossa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SP Cosmos SS Pennarossa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SP Cosmos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

SP Cosmos's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

SS Pennarossa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: SP Cosmos stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SP Cosmos VS SS Pennarossa
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SP Cosmos

(Home)
13 Sept
SP Cosmos
6 : 1
SS Pennarossa
08 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 1
SP Cosmos
04 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0
SP Cosmos
29 Aug
SP Cosmos
1 : 1
AC Libertas
06 May
SP Cosmos
0 : 0
Tre Penne
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SS Pennarossa

(Away)
13 Sept
SP Cosmos
6 : 1
SS Pennarossa
09 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 0
Cailungo
06 Sept
SS Pennarossa
1 : 4
SS Murata
30 Aug
Tre Fiori
5 : 2
SS Pennarossa
29 Apr
SP Cosmos
3 : 0
SS Pennarossa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore 4 4 0 0 10:1 12
2 Tre Penne 4 4 0 0 9:2 12
3 Virtus 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
4 Tre Fiori 4 3 0 1 14:5 9
5 SP Cosmos 4 2 1 1 9:4 7
6 SP Domagnano 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
7 La Fiorita 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
8 AC Libertas 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
9 Fiorentino 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
10 Juvenes/Dogana 4 1 0 3 6:6 3
11 Cailungo 4 1 0 3 4:5 3
12 SS Murata 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
13 San Giovanni 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
14 SS Pennarossa 4 1 0 3 7:16 3
15 San Marino Academy U22 4 0 2 2 1:5 2
16 SC Faetano 4 0 2 2 1:9 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)