Sport Picks
Match Events
12'
12'
Garcia Rufer A.
19'
19'
Fusco M.
20'
20'
Garcia Rufer A.
Assist: Fall A.
AI Match Summary
Folgore in this Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-7 — backing the pre-match view that favored Folgore.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
15%
53%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Folgore
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Folgore have won more games recently than SP Domagnano.
- Folgore are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Regular Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
SP Domagnano Clean Sheet 10%
Folgore Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SP Domagnano | Folgore |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 17 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.73 | 2.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 5, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Folgore vs SP Domagnano
1:3
May 2, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Domagnano vs Folgore
0:1
Apr 25, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Domagnano vs Folgore
3:7
Feb 11, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Folgore vs SP Domagnano
2:1
Apr 26, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Folgore vs SP Domagnano
0:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
SP Domagnano Compare
Top Goalscorer Fusco M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Buda G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Folgore Compare
Top Goalscorer Garcia Rufer A.
4 Goals Assists Leader Malaponti F.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
SP Domagnano 14 / 100
Folgore 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
SP Domagnano Folgore
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Folgore Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
SP Domagnano scored in 87% of their last 30 games.
Games between these two average 4.40 goals.
Folgore's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.
Solid form: SP Domagnano remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
SP Domagnano VS Folgore
1.63 Goals Scored 2.75
2 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
SP Domagnano
(Home) 19 Sept
SP Domagnano
1 : 2 La Fiorita
11 Sept
Tre Fiori
3 : 0 SP Domagnano
08 Sept
SP Domagnano
3 : 1 SC Faetano
04 Sept
SP Domagnano
4 : 0 San Giovanni
28 Aug
Cailungo
1 : 2 SP Domagnano
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
SP Domagnano
1 : 2 La Fiorita
08 Sept
SP Domagnano
3 : 1 SC Faetano
04 Sept
SP Domagnano
4 : 0 San Giovanni
12 May
SP Domagnano
2 : 1 Virtus
02 May
SP Domagnano
0 : 1 Folgore
Page 1 of 3
Folgore
(Away) 19 Sept
Folgore
2 : 0 San Marino Academy U22
13 Sept
Juvenes/Dogana
1 : 2 Folgore
09 Sept
AC Libertas
0 : 2 Folgore
05 Sept
Folgore
1 : 0 Cailungo
28 Aug
Folgore
5 : 0 SS Murata
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Juvenes/Dogana
1 : 2 Folgore
09 Sept
AC Libertas
0 : 2 Folgore
02 May
SP Domagnano
0 : 1 Folgore
25 Apr
SP Domagnano
3 : 7 Folgore
12 Apr
Juvenes/Dogana
2 : 2 Folgore
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 63:13 | 73 |
| 2 | Virtus | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 76:20 | 72 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 30 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 71:18 | 70 |
| 4 | La Fiorita | 30 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 64:25 | 57 |
| 5 | Folgore | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 67:33 | 57 |
| 6 | SP Domagnano | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 59:36 | 49 |
| 7 | Fiorentino | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 37:42 | 46 |
| 8 | SP Cosmos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 30:23 | 42 |
| 9 | Juvenes/Dogana | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:38 | 37 |
| 10 | AC Libertas | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32:63 | 35 |
| 11 | SS Pennarossa | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 29:53 | 32 |
| 12 | San Giovanni | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 24:43 | 31 |
| 13 | SC Faetano | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 22:55 | 22 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 23:60 | 16 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 30 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 23:71 | 11 |
| 16 | SS Murata | 30 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 20:83 | -2 |
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
