Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SP Domagnano vs San Giovanni

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Ferraro N.
30' Event
Ambrosini A.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Giammaria R.
Assist: Santi S.

AI Match Summary

The Campionato Sammarinese game between SP Domagnano and San Giovanni finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SP Domagnano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
SP Domagnano
15%
Draws
21%
San Giovanni
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SP Domagnano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • SP Domagnano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives SP Domagnano a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
SP Domagnano Clean Sheet 19%
San Giovanni Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SP Domagnano San Giovanni
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 4 8
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.76 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Domagnano vs San Giovanni
4:0
Apr 18, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
San Giovanni vs SP Domagnano
0:2
Dec 20, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Domagnano vs San Giovanni
1:1
Apr 19, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
San Giovanni vs SP Domagnano
2:2
Dec 22, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Domagnano vs San Giovanni
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SP Domagnano Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferraro N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Giammaria R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

San Giovanni Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SP Domagnano 85 / 100
San Giovanni 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SP Domagnano San Giovanni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SP Domagnano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SP Domagnano scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

San Giovanni's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

SP Domagnano has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SP Domagnano VS San Giovanni
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

SP Domagnano

(Home)
19 Sept
SP Domagnano
1 : 2
La Fiorita
11 Sept
Tre Fiori
3 : 0
SP Domagnano
08 Sept
SP Domagnano
3 : 1
SC Faetano
04 Sept
SP Domagnano
4 : 0
San Giovanni
28 Aug
Cailungo
1 : 2
SP Domagnano
Page 1 of 6

San Giovanni

(Away)
20 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 3
Cailungo
12 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2
San Giovanni
08 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 1
SP Cosmos
04 Sept
SP Domagnano
4 : 0
San Giovanni
29 Aug
San Giovanni
2 : 3
Tre Penne
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore 4 4 0 0 10:1 12
2 Tre Penne 4 4 0 0 9:2 12
3 Virtus 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
4 Tre Fiori 4 3 0 1 14:5 9
5 SP Cosmos 4 2 1 1 9:4 7
6 SP Domagnano 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
7 La Fiorita 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
8 AC Libertas 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
9 Fiorentino 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
10 Juvenes/Dogana 4 1 0 3 6:6 3
11 Cailungo 4 1 0 3 4:5 3
12 SS Murata 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
13 San Giovanni 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
14 SS Pennarossa 4 1 0 3 7:16 3
15 San Marino Academy U22 4 0 2 2 1:5 2
16 SC Faetano 4 0 2 2 1:9 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)