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SP Domagnano vs Tre Penne - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SP Domagnano host Tre Penne in the Campionato Sammarinese. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: SP Domagnano at 1.84 goals for, 1.52 against; Tre Penne at 2.38 for, 0.59 against. Head-to-head, SP Domagnano have won 0 to Tre Penne's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.56, favoring Tre Penne. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
SP Domagnano
15%
Draws
53%
Tre Penne
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tre Penne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Tre Penne carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Tre Penne are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Campionato Sammarinese form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
SP Domagnano Clean Sheet 15%
Tre Penne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SP Domagnano Tre Penne
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 14 24
Draws 4 6
Losses 13 2
Goals Scored 1.84 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.52 0.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Penne vs SP Domagnano
3:1
Mar 8, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Domagnano vs Tre Penne
1:2
Nov 8, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Penne vs SP Domagnano
0:0
Oct 21, 2025 Coppa Titano
SP Domagnano vs Tre Penne
2:2
Sep 23, 2025 Coppa Titano
Tre Penne vs SP Domagnano
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SP Domagnano 27 / 100
Tre Penne 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SP Domagnano Tre Penne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tre Penne Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SP Domagnano scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

SP Domagnano has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Tre Penne conceded in 53% of 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

SP Domagnano VS Tre Penne
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

SP Domagnano

(Home)
19 Sept
SP Domagnano
1 : 2
La Fiorita
11 Sept
Tre Fiori
3 : 0
SP Domagnano
08 Sept
SP Domagnano
3 : 1
SC Faetano
04 Sept
SP Domagnano
4 : 0
San Giovanni
28 Aug
Cailungo
1 : 2
SP Domagnano
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Tre Penne

(Away)
20 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0
Juvenes/Dogana
12 Sept
Cailungo
0 : 2
Tre Penne
08 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 1
Juvenes/Dogana
04 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0
SP Cosmos
29 Aug
San Giovanni
2 : 3
Tre Penne
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore 4 4 0 0 10:1 12
2 Tre Penne 4 4 0 0 9:2 12
3 Virtus 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
4 Tre Fiori 4 3 0 1 14:5 9
5 SP Cosmos 4 2 1 1 9:4 7
6 SP Domagnano 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
7 La Fiorita 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
8 AC Libertas 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
9 Fiorentino 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
10 Juvenes/Dogana 4 1 0 3 6:6 3
11 Cailungo 4 1 0 3 4:5 3
12 SS Murata 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
13 San Giovanni 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
14 SS Pennarossa 4 1 0 3 7:16 3
15 San Marino Academy U22 4 0 2 2 1:5 2
16 SC Faetano 4 0 2 2 1:9 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)