Sport Picks
SP Domagnano vs Tre Penne
San Marino
Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 
Match Events
31'
31'
Bonetti M.
(Penalty)
74'
74'
Badalassi I.
Assist: Errico S.
80'
80'
Maggioli M.
Own Goal
AI Match Summary
Tre Penne in this Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tre Penne.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
15%
53%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tre Penne
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Tre Penne have won more games recently than SP Domagnano.
- Tre Penne are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
SP Domagnano Clean Sheet 16%
Tre Penne Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SP Domagnano | Tre Penne |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 32 |
| Wins | 15 | 24 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 2 |
| Goals Scored | 1.81 | 2.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 0.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 16, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Penne vs SP Domagnano
3:1
Mar 8, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Domagnano vs Tre Penne
1:2
Nov 8, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Penne vs SP Domagnano
0:0
Oct 21, 2025 Coppa Titano
SP Domagnano vs Tre Penne
2:2
Sep 23, 2025 Coppa Titano
Tre Penne vs SP Domagnano
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
SP Domagnano Compare
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Tre Penne Compare
Top Goalscorer Badalassi I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
SP Domagnano 10 / 100
Tre Penne 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
SP Domagnano Tre Penne
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tre Penne Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
SP Domagnano scored in 88% of their last 32 games.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
SP Domagnano has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Tre Penne let in goals in 53% of their last 32 matches.
Scoring Trends
SP Domagnano VS Tre Penne
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
SP Domagnano
(Home) 19 Sept
SP Domagnano
1 : 2 La Fiorita
11 Sept
Tre Fiori
3 : 0 SP Domagnano
08 Sept
SP Domagnano
3 : 1 SC Faetano
04 Sept
SP Domagnano
4 : 0 San Giovanni
28 Aug
Cailungo
1 : 2 SP Domagnano
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
SP Domagnano
1 : 2 La Fiorita
08 Sept
SP Domagnano
3 : 1 SC Faetano
04 Sept
SP Domagnano
4 : 0 San Giovanni
12 May
SP Domagnano
2 : 1 Virtus
02 May
SP Domagnano
0 : 1 Folgore
Page 1 of 4
Tre Penne
(Away) 20 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0 Juvenes/Dogana
12 Sept
Cailungo
0 : 2 Tre Penne
08 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 1 Juvenes/Dogana
04 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0 SP Cosmos
29 Aug
San Giovanni
2 : 3 Tre Penne
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Cailungo
0 : 2 Tre Penne
29 Aug
San Giovanni
2 : 3 Tre Penne
22 Aug
Fiorentino
1 : 4 Tre Penne
09 May
La Fiorita
1 : 1 Tre Penne
06 May
SP Cosmos
0 : 0 Tre Penne
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 63:13 | 73 |
| 2 | Virtus | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 76:20 | 72 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 30 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 71:18 | 70 |
| 4 | La Fiorita | 30 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 64:25 | 57 |
| 5 | Folgore | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 67:33 | 57 |
| 6 | SP Domagnano | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 59:36 | 49 |
| 7 | Fiorentino | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 37:42 | 46 |
| 8 | SP Cosmos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 30:23 | 42 |
| 9 | Juvenes/Dogana | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:38 | 37 |
| 10 | AC Libertas | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32:63 | 35 |
| 11 | SS Pennarossa | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 29:53 | 32 |
| 12 | San Giovanni | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 24:43 | 31 |
| 13 | SC Faetano | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 22:55 | 22 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 23:60 | 16 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 30 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 23:71 | 11 |
| 16 | SS Murata | 30 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 20:83 | -2 |
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
