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Sp. Hasselt W vs SB Stade Mouscronnois W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Belgian Cup Women
Sat, Sep 26, 2026
4 - 3
02:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Deschepper E.
16' Event
Herpoel A.
49' Event
Sempels M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-3. The second leg ended 4-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sp. Hasselt W
25%
Draws
35%
SB Stade Mouscronnois W
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Sp. Hasselt W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Sp. Hasselt W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Sp. Hasselt W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Sp. Hasselt W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sp. Hasselt W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 38%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Sp. Hasselt W Clean Sheet 10%
SB Stade Mouscronnois W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sp. Hasselt W SB Stade Mouscronnois W
Matches Played 2 6
Wins 1 0
Draws 0 1
Losses 1 5
Goals Scored 2 1.5
Goals Conceded 4 3.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.57 2.65
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Belgian Cup Women
Sp. Hasselt W vs SB Stade Mouscronnois W
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sp. Hasselt W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sempels M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dillaerts E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.98
Avg xA / game 1.28

SB Stade Mouscronnois W Compare

Top Goalscorer Deschepper E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Herpoel A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.41
Avg xA / game 1.47

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sp. Hasselt W 83 / 100
SB Stade Mouscronnois W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sp. Hasselt W SB Stade Mouscronnois W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sp. Hasselt W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: SB Stade Mouscronnois W conceded in 100% of 6 recent games.

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: SB Stade Mouscronnois W registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Sp. Hasselt W found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (2 games).

Scoring Trends

Sp. Hasselt W VS SB Stade Mouscronnois W
2 Goals Scored 1.29
4 Goals Conceded 3.14
100% Over 1.5 71%
100% Over 2.5 71%
100% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Sp. Hasselt W

(Home)
26 Sept
Sp. Hasselt W
4 : 3
SB Stade Mouscronnois W
20 Aug
Sp. Hasselt W
0 : 5
Aalst W

SB Stade Mouscronnois W

(Away)
04 Oct
SB Stade Mouscronnois W
3 : 4
Westerlo W
26 Sept
Sp. Hasselt W
4 : 3
SB Stade Mouscronnois W
20 Sept
SB Stade Mouscronnois W
2 : 2
Mechelen W
13 Sept
Leuven II W
7 : 1
SB Stade Mouscronnois W
06 Sept
SB Stade Mouscronnois W
0 : 1
Waregem 2 2 W
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Genk W -
TBD -
TBD -
Club Brugge W -
Leuven W -
TBD -
TBD -
Standard Liege W -
RSC Anderlecht W -
TBD -
Mechelen W 2
RFC Liege W 0
RAAL La Louviere W -
TBD -
Westerlo W 6
Drongen W 0
Waregem W -
TBD -
KFC Damme W 4
Toekomst Borsbeke W 0
Schoonbeek-Beverst W 3
Femina Woluwe W 1
Sp. Hasselt W 4
SB Stade Mouscronnois W 3
Famkes Oostende W 0
Herent W 6
Olsa Brakel W 4
Mons W 3
Gent W -
TBD -
RWD Molenbeek W 6
Herk Sport Hasselt W 0
1/8-finals
Genk W -
Club Brugge W -
Leuven W -
Standard Liege W -
RSC Anderlecht W -
Mechelen W -
RAAL La Louviere W -
Westerlo W -
Waregem W -
KFC Damme W -
Schoonbeek-Beverst W -
Sp. Hasselt W -
Herent W -
Olsa Brakel W -
Gent W -
RWD Molenbeek W -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -