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Sp. Luqueno vs 2 de Mayo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Feliciano Cáceres, Luque
Mon, Nov 9, 2026
VS
10:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 2-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Sp. Luqueno have averaged 1.11 scored and 1.68 conceded recently, against 2 de Mayo's 1.03 scored and 1.31 conceded. Past meetings favor 2 de Mayo slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 1, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.19, favoring 2 de Mayo. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Sp. Luqueno
20%
Draws
50%
2 de Mayo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: 2 de Mayo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • 2 de Mayo have won more games recently than Sp. Luqueno.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • 2 de Mayo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor 2 de Mayo, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Sp. Luqueno Clean Sheet 20%
2 de Mayo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sp. Luqueno 2 de Mayo
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 4 9
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.11 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2026 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Sp. Luqueno
2:2
Mar 22, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs 2 de Mayo
0:2
Jan 23, 2026 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Sp. Luqueno
1:2
Oct 3, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs 2 de Mayo
0:3
Jul 25, 2025 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Sp. Luqueno
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sp. Luqueno 32 / 100
2 de Mayo 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sp. Luqueno 2 de Mayo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Sp. Luqueno scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

2 de Mayo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Sp. Luqueno stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sp. Luqueno VS 2 de Mayo
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sp. Luqueno

(Home)
31 Oct
Sp. Luqueno
0 : 3
Nacional Asuncion
28 Oct
Sp. Luqueno
0 : 2
Recoleta
23 Oct
Libertad Asuncion
1 : 0
Sp. Luqueno
18 Oct
Sp. Luqueno
3 : 2
San Lorenzo
10 Oct
Sp. Luqueno
0 : 3
Cerro Porteno
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2 de Mayo

(Away)
03 Nov
2 de Mayo
0 : 0
Sportivo Trinidense
30 Oct
Guarani
1 : 0
2 de Mayo
24 Oct
2 de Mayo
1 : 1
Recoleta
17 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 0
2 de Mayo
12 Oct
2 de Mayo
1 : 0
Sportivo Ameliano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia Asuncion 18 12 3 3 34:13 39
2 Nacional Asuncion 18 9 5 4 26:11 32
3 Guarani 18 8 7 3 20:14 31
4 Sportivo Trinidense 18 9 4 5 28:18 31
5 Libertad Asuncion 18 9 3 6 25:20 30
6 2 de Mayo 18 8 6 4 18:18 30
7 Cerro Porteno 18 8 3 7 24:19 27
8 Sportivo Ameliano 18 4 7 7 19:25 19
9 Sp. Luqueno 17 5 1 11 17:33 16
10 Rubio Nu 17 4 4 9 19:29 16
11 Recoleta 18 4 3 11 20:32 15
12 San Lorenzo 18 2 4 12 12:30 10
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)