Sport Picks
Sp. Luqueno vs Cerro Porteno - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Feliciano Cáceres, Luque 
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-3. This leg finished 0-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cerro Porteno
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Cerro Porteno lately — more wins on the board than Sp. Luqueno.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Cerro Porteno arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Cerro Porteno, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Cerro Porteno have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Sp. Luqueno Clean Sheet 16%
Cerro Porteno Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sp. Luqueno | Cerro Porteno |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 34 |
| Wins | 8 | 16 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 16 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 10, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Cerro Porteno
0:3
Aug 1, 2026 Copa de Primera
Cerro Porteno vs Sp. Luqueno
3:0
Mar 31, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Cerro Porteno
2:3
Feb 2, 2026 Copa de Primera
Cerro Porteno vs Sp. Luqueno
2:0
Sep 27, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Cerro Porteno
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sp. Luqueno 31 / 100
Cerro Porteno 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sp. Luqueno Cerro Porteno
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sp. Luqueno scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Defensive concern: Cerro Porteno conceded in 59% of 34 recent games.
Sp. Luqueno went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sp. Luqueno VS Cerro Porteno
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Sp. Luqueno
(Home) 05 Oct
Sportivo Trinidense
3 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
01 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
25 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
0 : 1 Guarani
20 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 0 Recoleta
13 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 0 Sp. Luqueno
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
0 : 1 Guarani
20 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 0 Recoleta
06 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 2 Sportivo Ameliano
28 Aug
Sp. Luqueno
2 : 1 Rubio Nu
16 Aug
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 2 Libertad Asuncion
Page 1 of 3
Cerro Porteno
(Away) 05 Oct
Cerro Porteno
0 : 2 2 de Mayo
30 Sept
Cerro Porteno
2 : 1 Rubio Nu
26 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
2 : 1 Cerro Porteno
19 Sept
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0 Rubio Nu
12 Sept
Guarani
1 : 1 Cerro Porteno
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
2 : 1 Cerro Porteno
12 Sept
Guarani
1 : 1 Cerro Porteno
03 Sept
Recoleta
1 : 3 Cerro Porteno
27 Aug
Resistencia
0 : 1 Cerro Porteno
23 Aug
Olimpia Asuncion
2 : 1 Cerro Porteno
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 26 |
| 3 | 2 de Mayo | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16:13 | 25 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20:8 | 23 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 6 | Guarani | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14:10 | 21 |
| 7 | Sportivo Ameliano | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 15:15 | 18 |
| 8 | Cerro Porteno | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:14 | 17 |
| 9 | Sp. Luqueno | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14:24 | 13 |
| 10 | Rubio Nu | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15:24 | 12 |
| 11 | Recoleta | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14:26 | 8 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4:22 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
