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Sp. Luqueno vs Godoy Cruz

South America South America

Copa Sudamericana 2025 Estadio Defensores del Chaco, Asunción
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Rodriguez W.
46'
Sub
Ayala W. In: Hauche G.
Out: Ayala W.
46'
Sub
Rios R. D. In: Gonzalez W.
Out: Rios R. D.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Godoy Cruz advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Sp. Luqueno
20%
Draws
38%
Godoy Cruz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sp. Luqueno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Godoy Cruz's 1.25 goals per match outpaces what Sp. Luqueno have produced (0.75).
  • Win probability leans Sp. Luqueno's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Godoy Cruz, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Sp. Luqueno Clean Sheet 20%
Godoy Cruz Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sp. Luqueno Godoy Cruz
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 7
Draws 6 12
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2025 Copa Sudamericana
Sp. Luqueno vs Godoy Cruz
0:1
Apr 9, 2025 Copa Sudamericana
Godoy Cruz vs Sp. Luqueno
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sp. Luqueno Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Godoy Cruz Compare

Top Goalscorer Auzmendi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sp. Luqueno 42 / 100
Godoy Cruz 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sp. Luqueno Godoy Cruz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sp. Luqueno scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Godoy Cruz conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Sp. Luqueno has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sp. Luqueno VS Godoy Cruz
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sp. Luqueno

(Home)
23 May
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 2
Olimpia Asuncion
17 May
San Lorenzo
0 : 0
Sp. Luqueno
10 May
Sp. Luqueno
2 : 3
Libertad Asuncion
02 May
Rubio Nu
0 : 0
Sp. Luqueno
25 Apr
Sp. Luqueno
2 : 1
Sportivo Trinidense
Page 1 of 6

Godoy Cruz

(Away)
12 Jul
Godoy Cruz
1 : 0
Defensores de Belgrano
04 Jul
Ciudad Bolivar
3 : 1
Godoy Cruz
21 Jun
Central Norte
1 : 0
Godoy Cruz
14 Jun
Almirante Brown
1 : 0
Godoy Cruz
07 Jun
Godoy Cruz
2 : 1
CA Mitre
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente640216:612
2Guarani62229:128
3Boston River621312:147
4Nacional Potosi62138:137
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1U. Catolica642012:514
2Cerro Largo62135:87
3Vitoria61323:46
4Defensa y Justicia60424:74
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Huracan642011:214
2America De Cali61506:48
3Corinthians62225:58
4Racing Montevideo60153:141
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Godoy Cruz633010:512
2Gremio63308:412
3Atletico Grau60425:94
4Sp. Luqueno60244:92
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mushuc Runa651012:416
2Palestino63039:99
3Cruzeiro61235:75
4Union de Santa Fe61142:84
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fluminense641111:213
2Once Caldas64028:612
3U. Espanola61236:75
4GV San Jose61145:154
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lanus63309:412
2Vasco62228:88
3FBC Melgar62135:107
4Academia Puerto Cabello61238:85
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cienciano624012:610
2Atletico-MG623111:69
3Caracas62229:118
4Deportes Iquique61147:164
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2024 (Play Offs)