Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sp. Luqueno vs Guarani

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Feliciano Cáceres, Luque
Sp. Luqueno Logo

Sp. Luqueno

0 - 1
FT
Guarani Logo

Guarani

Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Fernandez D.
46'
Sub
Rodriguez Echeverria R. O. In: Cespedes V.
Out: Rodriguez Echeverria R. O.
56'
Sub
Maggi I. In: Gonzalez W.
Out: Maggi I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Sp. Luqueno
30%
Draws
51%
Guarani
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guarani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Sp. Luqueno haven't matched Guarani's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Guarani taking it.
  • Guarani arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Guarani, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Sp. Luqueno Clean Sheet 18%
Guarani Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sp. Luqueno Guarani
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 10
Draws 5 11
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.04 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.57 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Guarani
0:1
Jul 26, 2026 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs Sp. Luqueno
1:2
Apr 18, 2026 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs Sp. Luqueno
2:1
Feb 23, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Guarani
3:2
Nov 30, 2025 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs Sp. Luqueno
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sp. Luqueno Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Guarani Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sp. Luqueno 15 / 100
Guarani 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sp. Luqueno Guarani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarani Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sp. Luqueno's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Guarani's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Sp. Luqueno went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sp. Luqueno VS Guarani
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sp. Luqueno

(Home)
25 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
0 : 1
Guarani
20 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 0
Recoleta
13 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 0
Sp. Luqueno
06 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 2
Sportivo Ameliano
01 Sept
2 de Mayo
2 : 2
Sp. Luqueno
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Guarani

(Away)
25 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
0 : 1
Guarani
18 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
0 : 1
Guarani
12 Sept
Guarani
1 : 1
Cerro Porteno
07 Sept
Guarani
2 : 0
Recoleta
02 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1
Guarani
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Libertad Asuncion 11 7 2 2 19:12 23
2 Nacional Asuncion 12 6 4 2 19:7 22
3 2 de Mayo 12 6 4 2 14:13 22
4 Olimpia Asuncion 11 7 1 3 20:9 22
5 Guarani 12 5 5 2 13:9 20
6 Sportivo Trinidense 12 6 2 4 20:11 20
7 Sportivo Ameliano 12 4 6 2 14:13 18
8 Cerro Porteno 12 5 2 5 15:12 17
9 Sp. Luqueno 12 4 1 7 12:21 13
10 Rubio Nu 12 2 3 7 13:23 9
11 Recoleta 11 2 1 8 13:24 7
12 San Lorenzo 11 0 1 10 3:21 1
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)