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Sp. Luqueno vs Rubio Nu

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Feliciano Cáceres
Our Tip

Match Events

40'
Rojas R.
45'
Sub
Montiel L. In: Perez E.
Out: Montiel L.
46'
Sub
Franco T. In: Maiz A.
Out: Franco T.

AI Match Summary

The Copa de Primera game between Sp. Luqueno and Rubio Nu finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rubio Nu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sp. Luqueno
40%
Draws
29%
Rubio Nu
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rubio Nu come out ahead of Sp. Luqueno on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Sp. Luqueno Clean Sheet 19%
Rubio Nu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sp. Luqueno Rubio Nu
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.63 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Copa de Primera
Rubio Nu vs Sp. Luqueno
0:0
Mar 2, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Rubio Nu
0:1
Jul 17, 2022 Division Intermedia
Sp. Luqueno vs Rubio Nu
2:1
Apr 8, 2022 Division Intermedia
Rubio Nu vs Sp. Luqueno
0:1
Aug 20, 2019 Copa Paraguay
Sp. Luqueno vs Rubio Nu
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sp. Luqueno Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Rubio Nu Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sp. Luqueno 32 / 100
Rubio Nu 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sp. Luqueno Rubio Nu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sp. Luqueno found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Sp. Luqueno stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Rubio Nu let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Sp. Luqueno VS Rubio Nu
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia Asuncion22154337:1749
2Nacional Asuncion22109331:2239
3Cerro Porteno22115630:2238
4Sportivo Ameliano2289527:2133
5Sportivo Trinidense2288630:2432
6Libertad Asuncion2294934:2631
7Guarani2278727:2329
8Recoleta22841035:3228
9Rubio Nu22651115:2623
102 de Mayo22571018:3522
11Sp. Luqueno22551224:3320
12San Lorenzo22361314:4115