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Sp. Luqueno vs Sportivo Ameliano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Feliciano Cáceres, Luque
Sp. Luqueno Logo

Sp. Luqueno

1 - 2
FT
Sportivo Ameliano Logo

Sportivo Ameliano

Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Ocampos C.
Assist: Gonzalez J.
44'
Rodriguez W.
46'
Sub
Maldonado S. In: Maiz A.
Out: Maldonado S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Sp. Luqueno
20%
Draws
46%
Sportivo Ameliano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sportivo Ameliano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sportivo Ameliano come out ahead of Sp. Luqueno on wins alone.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Sportivo Ameliano arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sportivo Ameliano, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Sp. Luqueno Clean Sheet 17%
Sportivo Ameliano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sp. Luqueno Sportivo Ameliano
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 9
Draws 5 13
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 1.14 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Sportivo Ameliano
1:2
Apr 5, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs Sp. Luqueno
2:2
Feb 6, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Sportivo Ameliano
0:1
Nov 2, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Sportivo Ameliano
0:1
Aug 16, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs Sp. Luqueno
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sp. Luqueno Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sportivo Ameliano Compare

Top Goalscorer Ocampos C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sp. Luqueno 36 / 100
Sportivo Ameliano 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sp. Luqueno Sportivo Ameliano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sportivo Ameliano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sportivo Ameliano has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Sp. Luqueno's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Sp. Luqueno remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sp. Luqueno VS Sportivo Ameliano
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sp. Luqueno

(Home)
10 Oct
Sp. Luqueno
0 : 3
Cerro Porteno
05 Oct
Sportivo Trinidense
3 : 2
Sp. Luqueno
01 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 2
Sp. Luqueno
25 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
0 : 1
Guarani
20 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 0
Recoleta
Page 1 of 6

Sportivo Ameliano

(Away)
06 Oct
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 2
Rubio Nu
25 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
1 : 1
Sportivo Ameliano
19 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
1 : 1
Sportivo Ameliano
11 Sept
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 0
San Lorenzo
06 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 2
Sportivo Ameliano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia Asuncion 13 8 2 3 22:10 26
2 Libertad Asuncion 13 8 2 3 21:14 26
3 2 de Mayo 13 7 4 2 16:13 25
4 Sportivo Trinidense 14 7 3 4 24:14 24
5 Nacional Asuncion 13 6 5 2 20:8 23
6 Guarani 13 5 6 2 14:10 21
7 Cerro Porteno 14 6 2 6 18:14 20
8 Sportivo Ameliano 13 4 6 3 15:15 18
9 Sp. Luqueno 14 4 1 9 14:27 13
10 Rubio Nu 13 3 3 7 15:24 12
11 Recoleta 13 2 2 9 14:26 8
12 San Lorenzo 14 0 4 10 5:23 4
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)