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SP Villafranca vs CD Zafra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Sun, Oct 4, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SP Villafranca host CD Zafra in the Tercera RFEF - Group 14. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. SP Villafranca have averaged 1.39 scored and 1.36 conceded recently, against CD Zafra's 1.17 scored and 1.17 conceded. Past meetings favor SP Villafranca slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 4, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.44, favoring SP Villafranca. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
SP Villafranca
15%
Draws
46%
CD Zafra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Zafra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SP Villafranca come out ahead of CD Zafra on wins alone.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on CD Zafra taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
SP Villafranca Clean Sheet 16%
CD Zafra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SP Villafranca CD Zafra
Matches Played 28 6
Wins 13 2
Draws 4 1
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 1.39 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
SP Villafranca vs CD Zafra
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SP Villafranca 28 / 100
CD Zafra 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SP Villafranca CD Zafra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Zafra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SP Villafranca scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

CD Zafra has conceded goals in 67% of their last 6 outings.

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: SP Villafranca stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SP Villafranca VS CD Zafra
2 Goals Scored 0.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

SP Villafranca

(Home)
09 Oct
Santa Amalia
1 : 3
SP Villafranca
27 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 1
SP Villafranca
20 Sept
SP Villafranca
0 : 1
Villanovense
12 Sept
Guadiana
0 : 2
SP Villafranca
06 Sept
SP Villafranca
1 : 4
CD Azuaga
Page 1 of 6

CD Zafra

(Away)
27 Sept
CD Zafra
0 : 0
AD Llerenense
20 Sept
Moralo
2 : 0
CD Zafra
13 Sept
CD Zafra
4 : 1
Pueblonuevo
06 Sept
Quintana
0 : 1
CD Zafra
13 Aug
CD Zafra
1 : 2
Don Benito
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Azuaga 5 5 0 0 14:2 15
2 Moralo 5 3 2 0 9:5 11
3 AD Llerenense 4 3 1 0 3:0 10
4 Castuera 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
5 Puebla de la Calzada 5 2 2 1 8:4 8
6 Gevora 5 2 2 1 8:9 8
7 CD Zafra 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
8 Villanovense 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
9 Santa Amalia 5 1 3 1 6:5 6
10 SP Villafranca 5 2 0 3 7:8 6
11 Montijo 5 2 0 3 6:8 6
12 Cabeza del Buey 5 1 2 2 6:6 5
13 Jerez CF 4 1 1 2 4:6 4
14 Jaraiz 5 1 1 3 6:9 4
15 Quintana 4 1 1 2 2:5 4
16 Pueblonuevo 5 0 3 2 5:10 3
17 UP Plasencia 4 0 1 3 2:8 1
18 Guadiana 5 0 1 4 2:11 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 (Play Offs)