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SP Villafranca vs Gevora - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SP Villafranca host Gevora in the Tercera RFEF - Group 14. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Gevora have shipped 1.61 goals a game lately, while SP Villafranca have conceded 1.3 and scored 1.4. Past meetings favor SP Villafranca slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 3, 2026, ending 1:3. The numbers (1.81 xG vs 1.88) point toward SP Villafranca. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
SP Villafranca
20%
Draws
46%
Gevora
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gevora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SP Villafranca come out ahead of Gevora on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
SP Villafranca Clean Sheet 10%
Gevora Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SP Villafranca Gevora
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 15 7
Draws 4 7
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.4 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Gevora vs SP Villafranca
1:3
Nov 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
SP Villafranca vs Gevora
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SP Villafranca 30 / 100
Gevora 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SP Villafranca Gevora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: SP Villafranca scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Gevora has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: SP Villafranca stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SP Villafranca VS Gevora
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

SP Villafranca

(Home)
09 Oct
Santa Amalia
1 : 3
SP Villafranca
27 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 1
SP Villafranca
20 Sept
SP Villafranca
0 : 1
Villanovense
12 Sept
Guadiana
0 : 2
SP Villafranca
06 Sept
SP Villafranca
1 : 4
CD Azuaga
Page 1 of 6

Gevora

(Away)
04 Oct
Moralo
1 : 1
Gevora
27 Sept
Gevora
3 : 1
Pueblonuevo
20 Sept
Quintana
0 : 0
Gevora
13 Sept
Gevora
4 : 2
UP Plasencia
05 Sept
Castuera
5 : 0
Gevora
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Azuaga 5 5 0 0 14:2 15
2 Moralo 5 3 2 0 9:5 11
3 AD Llerenense 4 3 1 0 3:0 10
4 Castuera 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
5 Puebla de la Calzada 5 2 2 1 8:4 8
6 Gevora 5 2 2 1 8:9 8
7 CD Zafra 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
8 Villanovense 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
9 Santa Amalia 5 1 3 1 6:5 6
10 SP Villafranca 5 2 0 3 7:8 6
11 Montijo 5 2 0 3 6:8 6
12 Cabeza del Buey 5 1 2 2 6:6 5
13 Jerez CF 4 1 1 2 4:6 4
14 Jaraiz 5 1 1 3 6:9 4
15 Quintana 4 1 1 2 2:5 4
16 Pueblonuevo 5 0 3 2 5:10 3
17 UP Plasencia 4 0 1 3 2:8 1
18 Guadiana 5 0 1 4 2:11 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 (Play Offs)