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SP Villafranca vs RCP Valverdeno

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Adelayo B.
29' Event
Adelayo B.
50' Event
Gonzalez A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

SP Villafranca host RCP Valverdeno in the Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: SP Villafranca at 1.13 goals for, 0.88 against; RCP Valverdeno at 0 for, 0 against. Past meetings favor SP Villafranca slightly — 2-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 21, 2024, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.17 vs 0.94, favoring SP Villafranca. SP Villafranca in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
SP Villafranca
6%
Draws
4%
RCP Valverdeno
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: SP Villafranca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • SP Villafranca has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to RCP Valverdeno.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for SP Villafranca.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
SP Villafranca Clean Sheet 20%
RCP Valverdeno Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SP Villafranca RCP Valverdeno
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 21 7
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2024 Club Friendly
RCP Valverdeno vs SP Villafranca
0:2
Apr 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
SP Villafranca vs RCP Valverdeno
4:1
Nov 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
RCP Valverdeno vs SP Villafranca
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SP Villafranca Compare

Top Goalscorer Adelayo B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader da Conceicao Guimaraes M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

RCP Valverdeno Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SP Villafranca 85 / 100
RCP Valverdeno 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SP Villafranca RCP Valverdeno

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SP Villafranca scored in 79% of their last 39 games.

RCP Valverdeno let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

SP Villafranca went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

RCP Valverdeno lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SP Villafranca VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Don Benito34237471:1376
2CD Coria341912358:2069
3CD Azuaga341711648:3162
4SP Villafranca341510945:2655
5Moralo341581155:4453
6Castuera341571249:3752
7CD Diocesano341471350:4649
8Jaraiz341441651:5246
9Pueblonuevo341271535:4543
10CD Calamonte349151040:5242
11Jerez CF341191441:5242
12Olivenza FC3410111332:4141
13Arroyo3410111333:3941
14CF Trujillo348141230:3838
15Don Alvaro347111630:5032
16RCP Valverdeno34881837:5832
17Montehermoso347111633:6332
18Fuente de Cantos344131728:5925