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Spaeri vs Dila Gori Prediction & H2H Stats

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga Spaeri Stadium, Tbilisi
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Tsalughelashvili T.
Assist: Tsirdava G.
22' Event
Shekiladze S.
Assist: Menteshashvili L.
31' Event
Kante M.
Assist: Shekiladze S.

AI Match Summary

The Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga game between Spaeri and Dila Gori finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dila Gori.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Spaeri
30%
Draws
58%
Dila Gori
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dila Gori

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Dila Gori carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Dila Gori's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Dila Gori here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Spaeri Clean Sheet 10%
Dila Gori Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spaeri Dila Gori
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 6 14
Draws 12 4
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.34 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Spaeri vs Dila Gori
1:4
Jun 16, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Dila Gori vs Spaeri
3:1
Apr 26, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Spaeri vs Dila Gori
0:1
Sep 23, 2025 Georgian Cup
Spaeri vs Dila Gori
1:2
Jul 2, 2025 Super Cup
Dila Gori vs Spaeri
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spaeri Compare

Top Goalscorer Tsalughelashvili T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Dila Gori Compare

Top Goalscorer Kante M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Shekiladze S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spaeri 10 / 100
Dila Gori 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spaeri Dila Gori

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dila Gori Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spaeri scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Dila Gori's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Spaeri went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spaeri VS Dila Gori
1.13 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Spaeri

(Home)
21 Sept
Spaeri
1 : 4
Dila Gori
13 Sept
Iberia 1999
1 : 0
Spaeri
09 Sept
Spaeri
1 : 1
FC Rustavi
05 Sept
Meshakhte Tkibuli
2 : 2
Spaeri
30 Aug
Dinamo Batumi
3 : 0
Spaeri
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Dila Gori

(Away)
21 Sept
Spaeri
1 : 4
Dila Gori
17 Sept
Iberia 1999
2 : 1
Dila Gori
13 Sept
Dila Gori
2 : 2
Dinamo Batumi
09 Sept
Samgurali
1 : 3
Dila Gori
05 Sept
Dila Gori
1 : 0
Gagra
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dinamo Batumi 27 13 8 6 46:36 47
2 Iberia 1999 26 14 4 8 37:28 46
3 FC Rustavi 27 13 7 7 32:23 46
4 Dinamo Tbilisi 26 12 9 5 43:29 45
5 Dila Gori 27 12 4 11 38:30 40
6 Torpedo Kutaisi 27 9 9 9 43:34 36
7 Samgurali 27 9 5 13 38:52 32
8 Gagra 27 6 11 10 25:37 29
9 Spaeri 27 5 10 12 34:43 25
10 Meshakhte Tkibuli 27 2 11 14 20:44 17
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)