Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Spaeri vs Dinamo Tbilisi

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga Spaeri Stadium, Tbilisi
Sat, Aug 8, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Spaeri host Dinamo Tbilisi in the Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Dinamo Tbilisi have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Spaeri have conceded 1.5 and scored 1.5. Past meetings favor Dinamo Tbilisi slightly — 1-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 7, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.88, favoring Dinamo Tbilisi. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Spaeri
39%
Draws
30%
Dinamo Tbilisi
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Spaeri haven't matched Dinamo Tbilisi's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Dinamo Tbilisi have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Spaeri Clean Sheet 10%
Dinamo Tbilisi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spaeri Dinamo Tbilisi
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 10 9
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.5 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Dinamo Tbilisi vs Spaeri
2:1
Mar 7, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Spaeri vs Dinamo Tbilisi
1:2
Dec 5, 2024 Georgian Cup
Spaeri vs Dinamo Tbilisi
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spaeri 30 / 100
Dinamo Tbilisi 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spaeri Dinamo Tbilisi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DIN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.67 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Spaeri scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Dinamo Tbilisi conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Spaeri stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spaeri VS Dinamo Tbilisi
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Spaeri

(Home)
25 Jul
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
1 : 5
Spaeri
20 Jul
Spaeri
0 : 1
Samgurali
17 Jul
Spaeri
2 : 3
Urartu
22 Jun
Torpedo Kutaisi
0 : 0
Spaeri
16 Jun
Dila Gori
3 : 1
Spaeri
Page 1 of 6

Dinamo Tbilisi

(Away)
26 Jul
Guria
1 : 0
Dinamo Tbilisi
23 Jul
Dinamo Tbilisi
3 : 0
Zalgiris
16 Jul
Dinamo Tbilisi
1 : 1
Mondorf
09 Jul
Mondorf
1 : 2
Dinamo Tbilisi
01 Jul
Dinamo Tbilisi
1 : 0
Dila Gori
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Iberia 199919104527:1834
2FC Rustavi1995522:1832
3Dinamo Tbilisi1987431:2131
4Torpedo Kutaisi1976630:1927
5Dinamo Batumi1976628:3027
6Dila Gori1982921:1926
7Samgurali1974825:3225
8Spaeri1957725:2522
9Gagra1957718:2422
10Meshakhte Tkibuli19181013:3411
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)