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Spaeri vs Dinamo Tbilisi Prediction & H2H Stats

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga Spaeri Stadium, Tbilisi
Spaeri Logo

Spaeri

1 - 2
FT
Dinamo Tbilisi Logo

Dinamo Tbilisi

Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Kokhreidze L.
Assist: Jibril B.
46'
Sub
Kvaratskhelia T. In: Kakashvili K.
Out: Kvaratskhelia T.
46'
Sub
Bah A. In: Houri L.
Out: Bah A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Dinamo Tbilisi in this Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dinamo Tbilisi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Spaeri
35%
Draws
55%
Dinamo Tbilisi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dinamo Tbilisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Spaeri haven't matched Dinamo Tbilisi's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Dinamo Tbilisi's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Dinamo Tbilisi have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Spaeri Clean Sheet 12%
Dinamo Tbilisi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spaeri Dinamo Tbilisi
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 6 14
Draws 12 9
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.34 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Spaeri vs Dinamo Tbilisi
1:2
May 7, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Dinamo Tbilisi vs Spaeri
2:1
Mar 7, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Spaeri vs Dinamo Tbilisi
1:2
Dec 5, 2024 Georgian Cup
Spaeri vs Dinamo Tbilisi
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spaeri Compare

Top Goalscorer Kokhreidze L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Dinamo Tbilisi Compare

Top Goalscorer Kakashvili K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vatsadze M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spaeri 10 / 100
Dinamo Tbilisi 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spaeri Dinamo Tbilisi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dinamo Tbilisi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Spaeri scored in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: Dinamo Tbilisi conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Spaeri stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spaeri VS Dinamo Tbilisi
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Spaeri

(Home)
21 Sept
Spaeri
1 : 4
Dila Gori
13 Sept
Iberia 1999
1 : 0
Spaeri
09 Sept
Spaeri
1 : 1
FC Rustavi
05 Sept
Meshakhte Tkibuli
2 : 2
Spaeri
30 Aug
Dinamo Batumi
3 : 0
Spaeri
Page 1 of 7

Dinamo Tbilisi

(Away)
19 Sept
Samgurali
2 : 3
Dinamo Tbilisi
14 Sept
Dinamo Tbilisi
4 : 0
Gagra
10 Sept
Dinamo Tbilisi
0 : 0
Meshakhte Tkibuli
06 Sept
Torpedo Kutaisi
1 : 1
Dinamo Tbilisi
31 Aug
Dinamo Tbilisi
2 : 1
Dila Gori
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dinamo Batumi 27 13 8 6 46:36 47
2 Iberia 1999 26 14 4 8 37:28 46
3 FC Rustavi 27 13 7 7 32:23 46
4 Dinamo Tbilisi 26 12 9 5 43:29 45
5 Dila Gori 27 12 4 11 38:30 40
6 Torpedo Kutaisi 27 9 9 9 43:34 36
7 Samgurali 27 9 5 13 38:52 32
8 Gagra 27 6 11 10 25:37 29
9 Spaeri 27 5 10 12 34:43 25
10 Meshakhte Tkibuli 27 2 11 14 20:44 17
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)