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Spaeri vs FC Zugdidi

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2022
Sun, Sep 18, 2022
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Spaeri play FC Zugdidi in the Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Spaeri averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. FC Zugdidi averaged 1.86 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. In past meetings, Spaeri won 0, FC Zugdidi won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Nov 10, 2022 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Spaeri and 1.06 for FC Zugdidi. This points to a Spaeri double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Spaeri
35%
Draws
30%
FC Zugdidi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Spaeri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Spaeri picked up more points recently compared to FC Zugdidi.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Spaeri Clean Sheet 22%
FC Zugdidi Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spaeri FC Zugdidi
Matches Played 34 7
Wins 11 2
Draws 12 2
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 1.47 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 10, 2022 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Zugdidi vs Spaeri
0:0
Sep 18, 2022 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Spaeri vs FC Zugdidi
0:0
Jun 22, 2022 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Zugdidi vs Spaeri
0:0
Apr 16, 2022 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Spaeri vs FC Zugdidi
2:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spaeri 36 / 100
FC Zugdidi 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spaeri FC Zugdidi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Spaeri or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Spaeri attacking → ← attacking FC Zugdidi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spaeri scored in 76% of their last 34 games.

FC Zugdidi let in goals in 71% of their last 7 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Spaeri went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FC Zugdidi lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 8
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Shukura28193652:2360
2Spaeri28156757:3551
3Samtredia28146843:2848
4Merani Martvili281261055:5342
5FC Gareji Sagarejo281061238:3636
6Merani Tbilisi281041434:5634
7FC Rustavi28651734:5423
8WIT Georgia28561730:5821
9FC Zugdidi00000:00
10Shevardeni Tbilisi00000:00