Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Spaeri vs Meshakhte Tkibuli

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga Spaeri Stadium, Tbilisi
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Sikharulidze I.
10'
Bunturi G.
32'
Golubiani Z.

AI Match Summary

Spaeri in this Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spaeri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Spaeri
20%
Draws
40%
Meshakhte Tkibuli
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Spaeri lately — more wins on the board than Meshakhte Tkibuli.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Spaeri taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Spaeri Clean Sheet 68%
Meshakhte Tkibuli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spaeri Meshakhte Tkibuli
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 6
Draws 10 9
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.52 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Spaeri vs Meshakhte Tkibuli
2:1
Apr 7, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Meshakhte Tkibuli vs Spaeri
0:0
Oct 26, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Meshakhte Tkibuli vs Spaeri
0:0
Aug 30, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Spaeri vs Meshakhte Tkibuli
1:0
May 15, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Meshakhte Tkibuli vs Spaeri
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spaeri Compare

Top Goalscorer Chagunava N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Meshakhte Tkibuli Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spaeri 59 / 100
Meshakhte Tkibuli 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spaeri Meshakhte Tkibuli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spaeri scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Meshakhte Tkibuli let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Meshakhte Tkibuli lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 0.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Spaeri VS Meshakhte Tkibuli
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Spaeri

(Home)
01 Aug
FC Rustavi
3 : 1
Spaeri
25 Jul
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
1 : 5
Spaeri
20 Jul
Spaeri
0 : 1
Samgurali
17 Jul
Spaeri
2 : 3
Urartu
22 Jun
Torpedo Kutaisi
0 : 0
Spaeri
Page 1 of 6

Meshakhte Tkibuli

(Away)
01 Aug
Samgurali
1 : 0
Meshakhte Tkibuli
25 Jul
Gonio
1 : 2
Meshakhte Tkibuli
14 Jul
Meshakhte Tkibuli
2 : 4
Urartu
23 Jun
Iberia 1999
2 : 1
Meshakhte Tkibuli
18 Jun
Meshakhte Tkibuli
1 : 1
Gagra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Rustavi 20 10 5 5 23:18 35
2 Iberia 1999 19 10 4 5 27:18 34
3 Dinamo Tbilisi 19 8 7 4 31:21 31
4 Torpedo Kutaisi 20 7 6 7 30:20 27
5 Dinamo Batumi 19 7 6 6 28:30 27
6 Dila Gori 19 8 2 9 21:19 26
7 Samgurali 19 7 4 8 25:32 25
8 Spaeri 19 5 7 7 25:25 22
9 Gagra 19 5 7 7 18:24 22
10 Meshakhte Tkibuli 19 1 8 10 13:34 11
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)