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Spaeri vs Torpedo Kutaisi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga Spaeri Stadium, Tbilisi
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Kokhreidze L.
27'
Askurava T.
40' Event
Andric K.
Assist: Pinson V.

AI Match Summary

The Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga game between Spaeri and Torpedo Kutaisi finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Spaeri
35%
Draws
46%
Torpedo Kutaisi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Torpedo Kutaisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Torpedo Kutaisi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Torpedo Kutaisi are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Spaeri Clean Sheet 10%
Torpedo Kutaisi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spaeri Torpedo Kutaisi
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 10 9
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.52 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Spaeri vs Torpedo Kutaisi
3:3
Jun 22, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Torpedo Kutaisi vs Spaeri
0:0
May 1, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Spaeri vs Torpedo Kutaisi
1:1
Feb 28, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Torpedo Kutaisi vs Spaeri
1:2
Jun 27, 2025 Super Cup
Spaeri vs Torpedo Kutaisi
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spaeri Compare

Top Goalscorer Kokhreidze L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Golubiani Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Torpedo Kutaisi Compare

Top Goalscorer Andric K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Arabidze G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spaeri 26 / 100
Torpedo Kutaisi 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spaeri Torpedo Kutaisi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Torpedo Kutaisi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Torpedo Kutaisi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Spaeri found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (33 games).

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Spaeri has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Spaeri VS Torpedo Kutaisi
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Spaeri

(Home)
21 Sept
Spaeri
1 : 4
Dila Gori
13 Sept
Iberia 1999
1 : 0
Spaeri
09 Sept
Spaeri
1 : 1
FC Rustavi
05 Sept
Meshakhte Tkibuli
2 : 2
Spaeri
30 Aug
Dinamo Batumi
3 : 0
Spaeri
Page 1 of 7

Torpedo Kutaisi

(Away)
20 Sept
Dinamo Batumi
3 : 2
Torpedo Kutaisi
14 Sept
Torpedo Kutaisi
3 : 2
Samgurali
10 Sept
Gagra
1 : 1
Torpedo Kutaisi
06 Sept
Torpedo Kutaisi
1 : 1
Dinamo Tbilisi
31 Aug
Torpedo Kutaisi
0 : 2
Meshakhte Tkibuli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dinamo Tbilisi 27 13 9 5 45:30 48
2 Dinamo Batumi 27 13 8 6 46:36 47
3 FC Rustavi 27 13 7 7 32:23 46
4 Iberia 1999 27 14 4 9 38:30 46
5 Dila Gori 27 12 4 11 38:30 40
6 Torpedo Kutaisi 27 9 9 9 43:34 36
7 Samgurali 27 9 5 13 38:52 32
8 Gagra 27 6 11 10 25:37 29
9 Spaeri 27 5 10 12 34:43 25
10 Meshakhte Tkibuli 27 2 11 14 20:44 17
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)