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Spain U16 vs Italy U16 Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Inacio S.
27' Event
Fernandez T.
66' Event
Vacas J.

AI Match Summary

Spain U16 in this Friendly International 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spain U16.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Spain U16
15%
Draws
38%
Italy U16
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spain U16

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Spain U16 have won more games recently than Italy U16.
  • Win probability leans Spain U16's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Spain U16 Clean Sheet 20%
Italy U16 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spain U16 Italy U16
Matches Played 28 35
Wins 19 16
Draws 2 3
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 2.39 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 2.21 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2024 Friendly International
Italy U16 vs Spain U16
1:4
Sep 17, 2024 Friendly International
Italy U16 vs Spain U16
2:3
Sep 21, 2023 Friendly International
Spain U16 vs Italy U16
2:3
Sep 19, 2023 Friendly International
Spain U16 vs Italy U16
2:1
May 31, 2022 Friendly International
Italy U16 vs Spain U16
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spain U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vacas J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.7
Avg xA / game 1.1

Italy U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Inacio S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spain U16 85 / 100
Italy U16 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spain U16 Italy U16

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spain U16 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spain U16's goal record stands at 96% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Italy U16 has conceded goals in 83% of their last 35 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Spain U16 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spain U16 VS Italy U16
2.8 Goals Scored 1.25
0.6 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
60% Over 2.5 50%
40% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Spain U16

(Home)
27 Apr
Belgium U16
0 : 2
Spain U16
24 Apr
Spain U16
3 : 0
Turkey U16
22 Apr
Spain U16
2 : 0
Austria U16
19 Sept
Italy U16
1 : 4
Spain U16
17 Sept
Italy U16
2 : 3
Spain U16
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Italy U16

(Away)
03 Jun
Portugal U16
0 : 1
Italy U16
31 May
Norway U16
1 : 2
Italy U16
29 May
Italy U16
3 : 2
South Korea U16
10 Apr
Czech Republic U16
0 : 2
Italy U16
08 Apr
Czech Republic U16
3 : 0
Italy U16
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