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Spain U16 W vs Sweden U16 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2025
Fri, Apr 18, 2025
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Spain U16 W play Sweden U16 W in the Friendly International Women 2025. Spain U16 W are favorites here. Recently, Spain U16 W averaged 2.08 goals scored and 1 conceded. Sweden U16 W averaged 1.67 goals scored and 2.09 conceded. In past meetings, Spain U16 W won 0, Sweden U16 W won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 18, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Spain U16 W and 1.19 for Sweden U16 W. This points to a Spain U16 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Spain U16 W
15%
Draws
28%
Sweden U16 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spain U16 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Spain U16 W picked up more points recently compared to Sweden U16 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Spain U16 W Clean Sheet 20%
Sweden U16 W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spain U16 W Sweden U16 W
Matches Played 12 33
Wins 7 10
Draws 1 2
Losses 4 21
Goals Scored 2.08 1.67
Goals Conceded 1 2.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2025 Friendly International Women
Spain U16 W vs Sweden U16 W
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spain U16 W 55 / 100
Sweden U16 W 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spain U16 W Sweden U16 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spain U16 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Spain U16 W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.3%
2.04
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Spain U16 W attacking → ← attacking Sweden U16 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spain U16 W scored in 67% of their last 12 games.

Sweden U16 W let in goals in 91% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Spain U16 W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sweden U16 W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

22 Points in last 5 32
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38