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Spain U17 W vs Bulgaria U17 W Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

Euro U17 Women 2026 Estádio do Real SC, Queluz
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Diaz A.
Assist: Galvez A.
44' Event
Varbanov E.
Assist: Popova Y.
46'
Sub
Georgieva Z. In: Rumenova K.
Out: Georgieva Z.

AI Match Summary

Spain U17 W in this Euro U17 Women 2026 matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spain U17 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Spain U17 W
20%
Draws
29%
Bulgaria U17 W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Spain U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Spain U17 W lately — more wins on the board than Bulgaria U17 W.
  • Model gives Spain U17 W a 51% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U17 Women 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Spain U17 W have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 59%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Spain U17 W Clean Sheet 20%
Bulgaria U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spain U17 W Bulgaria U17 W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 20 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 2.6 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.63 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 3.17 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 26, 2025 Euro U17 Women
Spain U17 W vs Bulgaria U17 W
6:1
Feb 10, 2021 Euro U17 Women
Spain U17 W vs Bulgaria U17 W
0:0
May 8, 2019 Euro U17 Women
Bulgaria U17 W vs Spain U17 W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spain U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ferrera C.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.44
Avg xA / game 1.58

Bulgaria U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Varbanov E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spain U17 W 85 / 100
Bulgaria U17 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spain U17 W Bulgaria U17 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spain U17 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spain U17 W scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Bulgaria U17 W let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Spain U17 W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Spain U17 W VS Bulgaria U17 W
2.75 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 3.6
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 80%
38% Over 3.5 80%

Recent Form & Match History

Spain U17 W

(Home)
14 May
Germany U17 W
1 : 0
Spain U17 W
11 May
Poland U17 W
1 : 4
Spain U17 W
08 May
France U17 W
1 : 0
Spain U17 W
05 May
Spain U17 W
4 : 0
Finland U17 W
07 Mar
Portugal U17 W
0 : 0
Spain U17 W
Page 1 of 6

Bulgaria U17 W

(Away)
05 Apr
Bulgaria U17 W
2 : 2
Ukraine U17 W
02 Apr
Bosnia & Herzegovina U17 W
0 : 2
Bulgaria U17 W
02 Dec
Bulgaria U17 W
0 : 6
Hungary U17 W
29 Nov
Portugal U17 W
4 : 0
Bulgaria U17 W
26 Nov
Spain U17 W
6 : 1
Bulgaria U17 W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U17 W 3 3 0 0 10:1 9
2 Portugal U17 W 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
3 Hungary U17 W 3 1 0 2 6:3 3
4 Bulgaria U17 W 3 0 0 3 1:16 0
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U17 W 3 3 0 0 6:1 9
2 Germany U17 W 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
3 Ireland U17 W 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
4 Belgium U17 W 3 0 0 3 2:9 0
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands U17 W 3 2 1 0 10:0 7
2 Czech Republic U17 W 3 2 1 0 5:0 7
3 Slovakia U17 W 3 1 0 2 3:8 3
4 Andorra U17 W 3 0 0 3 0:10 0
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U17 W 3 3 0 0 11:3 9
2 Poland U17 W 3 2 0 1 16:3 6
3 Scotland U17 W 3 0 1 2 1:8 1
4 Montenegro U17 W 3 0 1 2 0:14 1
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Finland U17 W 3 3 0 0 15:2 9
2 Italy U17 W 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
3 Croatia U17 W 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
4 North Macedonia U17 W 3 0 0 3 0:12 0
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland U17 W 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Austria U17 W 3 1 2 0 5:1 5
3 Romania U17 W 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
4 Ukraine U17 W 3 0 1 2 1:6 1
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Denmark U17 W 3 3 0 0 11:0 9
2 Norway U17 W 3 1 1 1 7:5 4
3 Serbia U17 W 3 0 2 1 4:7 2
4 Belarus U17 W 3 0 1 2 2:12 1
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Round 2 - League B)