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Spain U17 W vs England U17 W

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Friendly International Women 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Spain U17 W play England U17 W in the Friendly International Women 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Spain U17 W averaged 2.63 goals scored and 0.66 conceded. England U17 W averaged 2.1 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. In past meetings, Spain U17 W won 4, England U17 W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 17, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for Spain U17 W and 0.81 for England U17 W. This points to a Spain U17 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Spain U17 W
15%
Draws
38%
England U17 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spain U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Spain U17 W picked up more points recently compared to England U17 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.06 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Spain U17 W Clean Sheet 26%
England U17 W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spain U17 W England U17 W
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 24 20
Draws 5 2
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 2.63 2.1
Goals Conceded 0.66 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 3.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2025 Friendly International Women
Spain U17 W vs England U17 W
1:0
Oct 31, 2024 World Cup Women U17
Spain U17 W vs England U17 W
3:0
Sep 12, 2024 Friendly International Women
Spain U17 W vs England U17 W
1:2
Sep 10, 2024 Friendly International Women
Spain U17 W vs England U17 W
5:1
May 18, 2024 Euro U17 Women
England U17 W vs Spain U17 W
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spain U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Dominguez R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.79
Avg xA / game 1.81

England U17 W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spain U17 W 48 / 100
England U17 W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spain U17 W England U17 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Spain U17 W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Spain U17 W attacking → ← attacking England U17 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spain U17 W scored in 83% of their last 35 games.

England U17 W let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Spain U17 W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

England U17 W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

77 Points in last 5 62
3.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
0.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50