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Spain U19 vs Croatia U19

Europe Europe

Euro U19 2026 Central Park, Denbigh
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Espart X.
Assist: Pitarch T.
25'
Chelfi L.
41'
Puljic L.

AI Match Summary

Spain U19 in this Euro U19 2026 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Spain U19
15%
Draws
18%
Croatia U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spain U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Spain U19 have won more games recently than Croatia U19.
  • 67% — that's where the model lands on Spain U19 taking it.
  • Spain U19 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Spain U19, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Spain U19 here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Spain U19 Clean Sheet 68%
Croatia U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spain U19 Croatia U19
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 25 15
Draws 3 9
Losses 2 8
Goals Scored 2.87 1.59
Goals Conceded 0.73 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2026 Euro U19
Spain U19 vs Croatia U19
3:0
Mar 25, 2026 Euro U19
Spain U19 vs Croatia U19
4:0
Jun 10, 2013 Euro U19
Croatia U19 vs Spain U19
1:1
Jul 18, 2010 Euro U19
Croatia U19 vs Spain U19
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spain U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Espart X.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Salinas J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Croatia U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spain U19 95 / 100
Croatia U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spain U19 Croatia U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spain U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spain U19's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Spain U19 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Croatia U19 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spain U19 VS Croatia U19
3.75 Goals Scored 1
0.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Spain U19

(Home)
11 Jul
Spain U19
2 : 0
Germany U19
08 Jul
Spain U19
3 : 0
Croatia U19
04 Jul
Spain U19
4 : 0
Germany U19
01 Jul
Denmark U19
0 : 3
Spain U19
28 Jun
Wales U19
0 : 7
Spain U19
Page 1 of 6

Croatia U19

(Away)
08 Jul
Spain U19
3 : 0
Croatia U19
05 Jul
Serbia U19
0 : 3
Croatia U19
02 Jul
Croatia U19
0 : 0
Italy U19
29 Jun
Croatia U19
1 : 3
Ukraine U19
31 Mar
Croatia U19
0 : 2
England U19
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Spain U19 3
Croatia U19 0
Ukraine U19 1
Germany U19 2
Final
Spain U19 2
Germany U19 0