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Spain U19 vs Italy U19 Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Budesca D.
46'
Sub
Pagnucco F. In: Nardin F.
Out: Pagnucco F.
46'
Sub
Sia D. In: Caprini M.
Out: Sia D.

AI Match Summary

Spain U19 in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spain U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Spain U19
15%
Draws
32%
Italy U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spain U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Italy U19 haven't matched Spain U19's recent run of results.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Spain U19 taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Spain U19 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Spain U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Italy U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spain U19 Italy U19
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 26 16
Draws 3 9
Losses 2 5
Goals Scored 2.81 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.71 0.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2026 Friendly International
Italy U19 vs Spain U19
0:1
Mar 22, 2025 Euro U19
Italy U19 vs Spain U19
2:2
Jan 15, 2025 Friendly International
Spain U19 vs Italy U19
1:0
Jul 25, 2024 Euro U19
Italy U19 vs Spain U19
0:1
Jan 17, 2024 Friendly International
Italy U19 vs Spain U19
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spain U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Italy U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spain U19 85 / 100
Italy U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spain U19 Italy U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spain U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spain U19's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Spain U19 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Italy U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Spain U19 VS Italy U19
3.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Spain U19

(Home)
11 Jul
Spain U19
2 : 0
Germany U19
08 Jul
Spain U19
3 : 0
Croatia U19
04 Jul
Spain U19
4 : 0
Germany U19
01 Jul
Denmark U19
0 : 3
Spain U19
28 Jun
Wales U19
0 : 7
Spain U19
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Italy U19

(Away)
01 Oct
Croatia U19
0 : 1
Italy U19
28 Sept
Italy U19
3 : 0
Turkey U19
25 Sept
France U19
1 : 2
Italy U19
08 Jul
Denmark U19
1 : 0
Italy U19
05 Jul
Ukraine U19
1 : 0
Italy U19
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