Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Spain U20 vs Colombia U20

World World

World Cup U20 Estadio Fiscal de Talca, Talca
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Villarreal N.
Assist: Barrera J.
43'
Sub
Barrera J. In: Cavadia J.
Out: Barrera J.
56' Event
Belaid R.
Assist: Fortea J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. This leg finished 2-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Spain U20
15%
Draws
54%
Colombia U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Colombia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Spain U20 lately — more wins on the board than Colombia U20.
  • Colombia U20 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Spain U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Colombia U20, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Spain U20 Clean Sheet 21%
Colombia U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spain U20 Colombia U20
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 21 18
Draws 2 6
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.97 1.45
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.74 1.16
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2025 World Cup U20
Spain U20 vs Colombia U20
2:3
Dec 15, 2003 World Cup U20
Spain U20 vs Colombia U20
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spain U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Belaid R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Virgili J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.37

Colombia U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Villarreal N.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.64

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spain U20 20 / 100
Colombia U20 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spain U20 Colombia U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colombia U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spain U20 scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Colombia U20 let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Spain U20 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spain U20 VS Colombia U20
0.86 Goals Scored 0.88
1.43 Goals Conceded 0.63
57% Over 1.5 38%
29% Over 2.5 13%
29% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Spain U20

(Home)
11 Oct
Spain U20
2 : 3
Colombia U20
07 Oct
Ukraine U20
0 : 1
Spain U20
04 Oct
Spain U20
1 : 0
Brazil U20
01 Oct
Spain U20
2 : 2
Mexico U20
28 Sept
Morocco U20
2 : 0
Spain U20
Page 1 of 6

Colombia U20

(Away)
28 May
Colombia U20
2 : 1
Costa Rica U20
26 May
Colombia U20
1 : 0
Costa Rica U20
18 Oct
Colombia U20
1 : 0
France U20
15 Oct
Argentina U20
1 : 0
Colombia U20
11 Oct
Spain U20
2 : 3
Colombia U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Chile U20 1
Mexico U20 4
Argentina U20 4
Nigeria U20 0
Ukraine U20 0
Spain U20 1
Colombia U20 3
South Africa U20 1
USA U20 3
Italy U20 0
Morocco U20 2
South Korea U20 1
Paraguay U20 0
Norway U20 1
Japan U20 0
France U20 1
Quarter-finals
Mexico U20 0
Argentina U20 2
Spain U20 2
Colombia U20 3
USA U20 1
Morocco U20 3
Norway U20 1
France U20 2
Semi-finals
Argentina U20 1
Colombia U20 0
Morocco U20 2
France U20 1
Final
Argentina U20 0
Morocco U20 2
Colombia U20 1
France U20 0