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Spain U20 W vs Netherlands U20 W Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

World Cup Women U20 2022 Estadio Nacional de Costa Rica, San José
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Gabarro I.
Assist: Elexpuru A.
25' Event
Gabarro I.
Assist: Lloris S.
54' Event
van Gool R.
Assist: Rijsbergen L.

AI Match Summary

Spain U20 W in this World Cup Women U20 2022 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Spain U20 W
15%
Draws
24%
Netherlands U20 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spain U20 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Spain U20 W have won more games recently than Netherlands U20 W.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Spain U20 W taking it.
  • Spain U20 W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Spain U20 W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Spain U20 W Clean Sheet 68%
Netherlands U20 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spain U20 W Netherlands U20 W
Matches Played 31 23
Wins 24 9
Draws 4 2
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 2.32 1.57
Goals Conceded 0.55 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2024 Friendly International Women
Spain U20 W vs Netherlands U20 W
1:1
Aug 25, 2022 World Cup Women U20
Spain U20 W vs Netherlands U20 W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spain U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabarro I.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Netherlands U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer van Gool R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spain U20 W 95 / 100
Netherlands U20 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spain U20 W Netherlands U20 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spain U20 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spain U20 W's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Spain U20 W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Netherlands U20 W let in goals in 78% of their last 23 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Spain U20 W VS Netherlands U20 W
2.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Spain U20 W

(Home)
27 Sept
Spain U20 W
1 : 0
North Korea U20 W
23 Sept
Italy U20 W
0 : 2
Spain U20 W
19 Sept
Brazil U20 W
0 : 1
Spain U20 W
16 Sept
Spain U20 W
2 : 0
Portugal U20 W
13 Sept
China U20 W
1 : 3
Spain U20 W
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Netherlands U20 W

(Away)
21 Sept
USA U20 W
2 : 1
Netherlands U20 W
19 Sept
Japan U20 W
2 : 0
Netherlands U20 W
15 Sept
Netherlands U20 W
3 : 2
Colombia U20 W
13 Sept
France U20 W
1 : 2
Netherlands U20 W
08 Sept
Netherlands U20 W
0 : 2
North Korea U20 W
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Spain U20 W 1
Mexico U20 W 0
Nigeria U20 W 0
Netherlands U20 W 2
Colombia U20 W 0
Brazil U20 W 1
Japan U20 W 4
France U20 W 3
Semi-finals
Spain U20 W 2
Netherlands U20 W 1
Brazil U20 W 1
Japan U20 W 2
Final
Spain U20 W 3
Japan U20 W 1
Netherlands U20 W 1
Brazil U20 W 4