Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Spain U21 vs Denmark U21

World World

Friendly International 2024 Estadio Carlos Belmonte, Albacete
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Guerra J.
15'
Bajcetic S.
26' Event
Joseph M.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Spain U21 and Denmark U21 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spain U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Spain U21
6%
Draws
4%
Denmark U21
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Spain U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Denmark U21 haven't matched Spain U21's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Spain U21 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Spain U21 here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Spain U21 Clean Sheet 18%
Denmark U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spain U21 Denmark U21
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 21 12
Draws 5 9
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 2.88 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2024 Friendly International
Spain U21 vs Denmark U21
2:1
Nov 14, 2018 Friendly International
Spain U21 vs Denmark U21
4:1
Mar 23, 2017 Friendly International
Spain U21 vs Denmark U21
3:1
Oct 16, 2012 Euro U21
Denmark U21 vs Spain U21
1:3
Oct 11, 2012 Euro U21
Spain U21 vs Denmark U21
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spain U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Guerra J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Joseph M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Denmark U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Chukwuani T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spain U21 85 / 100
Denmark U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spain U21 Denmark U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spain U21 scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Spain U21 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Denmark U21 let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Spain U21 VS Denmark U21
2.88 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Spain U21

(Home)
31 Mar
Spain U21
2 : 0
Kosovo U21
27 Mar
Cyprus U21
0 : 7
Spain U21
18 Nov
Romania U21
0 : 2
Spain U21
14 Nov
Spain U21
7 : 0
San Marino U21
14 Oct
Spain U21
2 : 1
Finland U21
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Denmark U21

(Away)
31 Mar
Denmark U21
4 : 0
Wales U21
18 Nov
Belarus U21
0 : 1
Denmark U21
14 Nov
Denmark U21
1 : 1
USA U21
14 Oct
Belgium U21
2 : 0
Denmark U21
10 Oct
Denmark U21
1 : 1
Austria U21
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