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Spain U21 vs England U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 2025 City Arena Trnava, Trnava
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
McAtee J.
15' Event
Elliott H.
Assist: Quansah J.
34'
Morton T.

AI Match Summary

England U21 in this Euro U21 2025 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Spain U21
15%
Draws
39%
England U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spain U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Spain U21 haven't matched England U21's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Spain U21 a 46% chance of winning this.
  • England U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor England U21, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Spain U21 Clean Sheet 15%
England U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spain U21 England U21
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 20 23
Draws 5 5
Losses 5 3
Goals Scored 2.33 2.87
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2025 Euro U21
Spain U21 vs England U21
1:3
Nov 15, 2024 Friendly International
Spain U21 vs England U21
0:0
Jul 8, 2023 Euro U21
England U21 vs Spain U21
1:0
Jun 12, 2011 Euro U21
Spain U21 vs England U21
1:1
Jun 18, 2009 Euro U21
Spain U21 vs England U21
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spain U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

England U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer McAtee J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Elliott H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spain U21 84 / 100
England U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spain U21 England U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spain U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spain U21 found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Spain U21 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

England U21 has conceded goals in 48% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Spain U21 VS England U21
2.88 Goals Scored 2.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Spain U21

(Home)
31 Mar
Spain U21
2 : 0
Kosovo U21
27 Mar
Cyprus U21
0 : 7
Spain U21
18 Nov
Romania U21
0 : 2
Spain U21
14 Nov
Spain U21
7 : 0
San Marino U21
14 Oct
Spain U21
2 : 1
Finland U21
Page 1 of 6

England U21

(Away)
31 Mar
England U21
4 : 1
Moldova U21
27 Mar
Andorra U21
1 : 1
England U21
18 Nov
Slovakia U21
0 : 4
England U21
14 Nov
England U21
2 : 0
Ireland U21
13 Oct
England U21
1 : 0
Andorra U21
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Spain U21 1
England U21 3
Portugal U21 0
Netherlands U21 1
Germany U21 3
Italy U21 2
Denmark U21 2
France U21 3
Semi-finals
England U21 2
Netherlands U21 1
Germany U21 3
France U21 0
Final
England U21 3
Germany U21 2