Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Spain U21 vs Finland U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 Estadio Municipal de Castalia, Castellón de la Plana
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Jansson R.
46'
Sub
Rodelas S. In: Mayenda E.
Out: Rodelas S.
53'
Martin M.

AI Match Summary

Spain U21 in this Euro U21 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spain U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Spain U21
17%
Draws
13%
Finland U21
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Spain U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Spain U21 lately — more wins on the board than Finland U21.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Spain U21 taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Spain U21 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Spain U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Finland U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spain U21 Finland U21
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 21 16
Draws 5 5
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 2.88 3.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2025 Euro U21
Spain U21 vs Finland U21
2:1
Aug 11, 2010 Euro U21
Finland U21 vs Spain U21
1:1
Nov 13, 2009 Euro U21
Spain U21 vs Finland U21
1:0
Jun 22, 2009 Euro U21
Finland U21 vs Spain U21
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spain U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mayenda E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Finland U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 2.85
Avg xA / game 1.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spain U21 77 / 100
Finland U21 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spain U21 Finland U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Spain U21 scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Spain U21 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Finland U21 has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Spain U21 VS Finland U21
2.88 Goals Scored 3.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Spain U21

(Home)
31 Mar
Spain U21
2 : 0
Kosovo U21
27 Mar
Cyprus U21
0 : 7
Spain U21
18 Nov
Romania U21
0 : 2
Spain U21
14 Nov
Spain U21
7 : 0
San Marino U21
14 Oct
Spain U21
2 : 1
Finland U21
Page 1 of 7

Finland U21

(Away)
08 Jun
Norway U21
0 : 2
Finland U21
04 Jun
Sweden U21
1 : 3
Finland U21
31 Mar
Finland U21
3 : 0
Cyprus U21
26 Mar
San Marino U21
0 : 8
Finland U21
18 Nov
Finland U21
0 : 0
Kosovo U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Spain U21770026:221
2Finland U21751126:216
3Romania U2174128:413
4Kosovo U21722312:68
5Cyprus U2171065:243
6San Marino U2170070:390
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portugal U21761028:019
2Czech Republic U21742115:314
3Scotland U21832318:1011
4Bulgaria U2173227:611
5Azerbaijan U2171335:186
6Gibraltar U2180081:370
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1France U21651021:416
2Switzerland U21742110:514
3Iceland U21732214:911
4Faroe Islands U2173046:139
5Luxembourg U2161147:144
6Estonia U2170258:212
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1England U21761018:219
2Slovakia U21751115:1016
3Ireland U2173227:1011
4Andorra U2182156:107
5Moldova U2181259:175
6Kazakhstan U2171154:104
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Poland U21880023:224
2Italy U21870125:521
3Montenegro U21831411:1410
4Sweden U21831410:1910
5North Macedonia U2182067:176
6Armenia U2180084:230
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Germany U21760122:418
2Greece U21760121:418
3Northern Ireland U2173138:1110
4Georgia U21723212:99
5Latvia U2171244:125
6Malta U2170071:280
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Norway U21540112:412
2Bosnia & Herzegovina U2161412:17
3Israel U2161416:77
4Netherlands U2151227:85
5Slovenia U2161233:105
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Croatia U21541011:113
2Turkey U2163217:611
3Ukraine U21622210:78
4Hungary U2150326:93
5Lithuania U2160243:142
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Belgium U21531111:210
2Austria U2163127:710
3Denmark U21531112:510
4Wales U2162046:206
5Belarus U2161147:94
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)