Sport Picks

Europe

Euro U21 Estadio Municipal de Castalia, Castellón de la Plana

Spain U21

2 - 1

Finland U21

Our Tip

Match Events

Jansson R.

46'

Sub

Rodelas S. In: Mayenda E.

Out: Rodelas S.

53'

Martin M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Spain U21 in this Euro U21 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spain U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%

Spain U21

15%

Draws

39%

Finland U21

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spain U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Spain U21 lately — more wins on the board than Finland U21.
46% — that's where the model lands on Spain U21 taking it.
Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 4 times recently and Spain U21 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%

Spain U21 Clean Sheet 68%

Finland U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Spain U21	Finland U21
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	22	16
Draws	5	5
Losses	5	9
Goals Scored	2.44	2.3
Goals Conceded	0.81	1.03
Expected Goals (xG)	1.81	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2025 Euro U21

Spain U21 vs Finland U21

2:1

Aug 11, 2010 Euro U21

Finland U21 vs Spain U21

1:1

Nov 13, 2009 Euro U21

Spain U21 vs Finland U21

1:0

Jun 22, 2009 Euro U21

Finland U21 vs Spain U21

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spain U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mayenda E.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Garcia G.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.39

Avg xA / game 0.91

Finland U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spain U21 77 / 100

Finland U21 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Spain U21 Finland U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spain U21 Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Spain U21 scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Spain U21 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Finland U21 has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Spain U21 VS Finland U21

2.88 Goals Scored 3.13

0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75

100% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Spain U21

(Home)

31 Mar

Spain U21

2 : 0

Kosovo U21

27 Mar

Cyprus U21

0 : 7

Spain U21

18 Nov

Romania U21

0 : 2

Spain U21

14 Nov

Spain U21

7 : 0

San Marino U21

14 Oct

Spain U21

2 : 1

Finland U21

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Finland U21

(Away)

08 Jun

Norway U21

0 : 2

Finland U21

04 Jun

Sweden U21

1 : 3

Finland U21

31 Mar

Finland U21

3 : 0

Cyprus U21

26 Mar

San Marino U21

0 : 8

Finland U21

18 Nov

Finland U21

0 : 0

Kosovo U21

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