Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Spain U21 vs Japan U21

World World

Friendly International 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Fujio S. In: Oda Y.
Out: Fujio S.
46'
Sub
Martinez A. In: Turrientes B.
Out: Martinez A.
46'
Sub
Baena A. In: Carmona J. A.
Out: Baena A.

AI Match Summary

Spain U21 in this Friendly International 2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spain U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Spain U21
6%
Draws
4%
Japan U21
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Spain U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Spain U21 have won more games recently than Japan U21.
  • Win probability leans Spain U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Spain U21 Clean Sheet 16%
Japan U21 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spain U21 Japan U21
Matches Played 31 22
Wins 21 8
Draws 5 3
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2022 Friendly International
Spain U21 vs Japan U21
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spain U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Turrientes B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sanchez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Japan U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spain U21 84 / 100
Japan U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spain U21 Japan U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spain U21 scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Solid form: Spain U21 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Japan U21 has conceded goals in 77% of their last 22 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Spain U21 VS Japan U21
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Spain U21

(Home)
31 Mar
Spain U21
2 : 0
Kosovo U21
27 Mar
Cyprus U21
0 : 7
Spain U21
18 Nov
Romania U21
0 : 2
Spain U21
14 Nov
Spain U21
7 : 0
San Marino U21
14 Oct
Spain U21
2 : 1
Finland U21
Page 1 of 7

Japan U21

(Away)
08 Jun
Japan U21
3 : 0
Ukraine U21
05 Jun
Uzbekistan U23
0 : 1
Japan U21
29 Mar
South Korea U23
2 : 1
Japan U21
27 Mar
Japan U21
0 : 2
USA U21
27 Mar
Belgium U21
3 : 2
Japan U21
Page 1 of 5