Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Spain U21 vs Ukraine U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 2023 Stadionul Steaua, Bucharest
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Bondarenko A.
Assist: Mudryk M.
17' Event
Ruiz A.
Assist: Gomez V.
24' Event
Sancet O.
Assist: Baena A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-1, with Spain U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Spain U21
15%
Draws
18%
Ukraine U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spain U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Spain U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 67% — that's where the model lands on Spain U21 taking it.
  • Spain U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Spain U21, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Spain U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Ukraine U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spain U21 Ukraine U21
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 23 13
Draws 5 5
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 2.58 1.53
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2025 Friendly International
Spain U21 vs Ukraine U21
0:1
Jul 5, 2023 Euro U21
Spain U21 vs Ukraine U21
5:1
Jun 27, 2023 Euro U21
Spain U21 vs Ukraine U21
2:2
Jun 19, 2011 Euro U21
Ukraine U21 vs Spain U21
0:3
Sep 9, 2003 Euro U21
Spain U21 vs Ukraine U21
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spain U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruiz A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sancet O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Ukraine U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bondarenko A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spain U21 95 / 100
Ukraine U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spain U21 Ukraine U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spain U21 found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (33 games).

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Spain U21 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Ukraine U21 let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Spain U21 VS Ukraine U21
2.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Spain U21

(Home)
31 Mar
Spain U21
2 : 0
Kosovo U21
27 Mar
Cyprus U21
0 : 7
Spain U21
18 Nov
Romania U21
0 : 2
Spain U21
14 Nov
Spain U21
7 : 0
San Marino U21
14 Oct
Spain U21
2 : 1
Finland U21
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Ukraine U21

(Away)
08 Jun
Japan U21
3 : 0
Ukraine U21
05 Jun
USA U21
3 : 1
Ukraine U21
31 Mar
Hungary U21
1 : 2
Ukraine U21
27 Mar
Ukraine U21
1 : 1
Lithuania U21
17 Nov
Albania U21
2 : 0
Ukraine U21
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Georgia U21 0
Israel U21 1
England U21 1
Portugal U21 0
Spain U21 2
Switzerland U21 1
France U21 1
Ukraine U21 3
Semi-finals
Israel U21 0
England U21 3
Spain U21 5
Ukraine U21 1
Final
England U21 1
Spain U21 0