Sport Picks

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Spain U21 vs Ukraine U21

World World

Friendly International 2025 Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo, Alcorcón
Our Tip

Match Events

39'
Voloshyn N.
46'
Sub
Iturbe A. In: Cunat P.
Out: Iturbe A.
46'
Sub
Jauregizar M. In: Turrientes B.
Out: Jauregizar M.

AI Match Summary

Ukraine U21 in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ukraine U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Spain U21
6%
Draws
4%
Ukraine U21
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Spain U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Spain U21 have won more games recently than Ukraine U21.
  • Spain U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Spain U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Ukraine U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spain U21 Ukraine U21
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 21 13
Draws 5 5
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 2.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2025 Friendly International
Spain U21 vs Ukraine U21
0:1
Jul 5, 2023 Euro U21
Spain U21 vs Ukraine U21
5:1
Jun 27, 2023 Euro U21
Spain U21 vs Ukraine U21
2:2
Jun 19, 2011 Euro U21
Ukraine U21 vs Spain U21
0:3
Sep 9, 2003 Euro U21
Spain U21 vs Ukraine U21
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spain U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Ukraine U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kvasnytsya I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spain U21 85 / 100
Ukraine U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spain U21 Ukraine U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spain U21 scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Spain U21 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Ukraine U21 has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Spain U21 VS Ukraine U21
2.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Spain U21

(Home)
31 Mar
Spain U21
2 : 0
Kosovo U21
27 Mar
Cyprus U21
0 : 7
Spain U21
18 Nov
Romania U21
0 : 2
Spain U21
14 Nov
Spain U21
7 : 0
San Marino U21
14 Oct
Spain U21
2 : 1
Finland U21
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Ukraine U21

(Away)
08 Jun
Japan U21
3 : 0
Ukraine U21
05 Jun
USA U21
3 : 1
Ukraine U21
31 Mar
Hungary U21
1 : 2
Ukraine U21
27 Mar
Ukraine U21
1 : 1
Lithuania U21
17 Nov
Albania U21
2 : 0
Ukraine U21
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