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Spain vs Belgium

World World

World Championship 2026 SoFi Stadium
Fri, Jul 10, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Spain host Belgium in the World Championship 2026. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Belgium have shipped 0.88 goals a game lately, while Spain have conceded 0.25 and scored 1.5. Past meetings favor Spain slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 1, 2016, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.50) point toward Spain. Spain in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Spain
39%
Draws
31%
Belgium
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Spain come out ahead of Belgium on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Spain have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Spain Clean Sheet 16%
Belgium Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spain Belgium
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 21 14
Draws 6 8
Losses 1 7
Goals Scored 1.5 2.75
Goals Conceded 0.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2016 Friendly International
Belgium vs Spain
0:2
Nov 17, 2015 Friendly International
Belgium vs Spain
0:0
Sep 5, 2009 World Championship
Spain vs Belgium
5:0
Oct 15, 2008 World Championship
Belgium vs Spain
1:2
Oct 8, 2005 World Championship
Belgium vs Spain
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spain 30 / 100
Belgium 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spain Belgium

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spain scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Spain has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Belgium has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Spain VS Belgium
1.5 Goals Scored 2.75
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Germany1
Paraguay2
France3
Sweden0
South Africa0
Canada1
Netherlands1
Morocco2
Portugal2
Croatia1
Spain3
Austria0
USA2
Bosnia & Herzegovina0
Belgium3
Senegal2
Brazil2
Japan1
Ivory Coast1
Norway2
Mexico2
Ecuador0
England2
D.R. Congo1
Argentina3
Cape Verde2
Australia1
Egypt2
Switzerland2
Algeria0
Colombia1
Ghana0
1/8-finals
Paraguay0
France1
Canada0
Morocco3
Portugal0
Spain1
USA1
Belgium2
Brazil1
Norway2
Mexico2
England3
Argentina-
Egypt-
Switzerland-
Colombia-
Quarter-finals
France-
Morocco-
Spain-
TBD-
Norway-
England-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-