Sport Picks
Match Events
30'
30'
Ruiz F.
41'
41'
De Ketelaere C.
Assist: Castagne T.
43'
43'
Cubarsi P.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-1, with Spain advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spain
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Spain come out ahead of Belgium on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Spain's way, sitting at 40%.
- Spain have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Spain, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Spain have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Spain Clean Sheet 16%
Belgium Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Spain | Belgium |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 23 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 1 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 2.4 | 2.27 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.77 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 10, 2026 World Championship
Spain vs Belgium
2:1
Sep 1, 2016 Friendly International
Belgium vs Spain
0:2
Nov 17, 2015 Friendly International
Belgium vs Spain
0:0
Sep 5, 2009 World Championship
Spain vs Belgium
5:0
Oct 15, 2008 World Championship
Belgium vs Spain
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Spain Compare
Top Goalscorer Ruiz F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Merino M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Belgium Compare
Top Goalscorer De Ketelaere C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Spain 39 / 100
Belgium 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Spain Belgium
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Spain Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Spain's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Spain went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Belgium has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Spain VS Belgium
1.63 Goals Scored 2.75
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Spain
(Home) 19 Jul
Spain
1 : 0 Argentina
14 Jul
France
0 : 2 Spain
10 Jul
Spain
2 : 1 Belgium
06 Jul
Portugal
0 : 1 Spain
02 Jul
Spain
3 : 0 Austria
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19 Jul
Spain
1 : 0 Argentina
10 Jul
Spain
2 : 1 Belgium
02 Jul
Spain
3 : 0 Austria
21 Jun
Spain
4 : 0 Saudi Arabia
15 Jun
Spain
0 : 0 Cape Verde
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Belgium
(Away) 10 Jul
Spain
2 : 1 Belgium
07 Jul
USA
1 : 4 Belgium
01 Jul
Belgium
3 : 2 Senegal
27 Jun
New Zealand
1 : 5 Belgium
21 Jun
Belgium
0 : 0 Iran
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10 Jul
Spain
2 : 1 Belgium
07 Jul
USA
1 : 4 Belgium
27 Jun
New Zealand
1 : 5 Belgium
02 Jun
Croatia
0 : 2 Belgium
01 Apr
Mexico
1 : 1 Belgium
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Germany 1
Paraguay 2
France 3
Sweden 0
South Africa 0
Canada 1
Netherlands 1
Morocco 2
Portugal 2
Croatia 1
Spain 3
Austria 0
USA 2
Bosnia & Herzegovina 0
Belgium 3
Senegal 2
Brazil 2
Japan 1
Ivory Coast 1
Norway 2
Mexico 2
Ecuador 0
England 2
D.R. Congo 1
Argentina 3
Cape Verde 2
Australia 1
Egypt 2
Switzerland 2
Algeria 0
Colombia 1
Ghana 0
1/8-finals
Paraguay 0
France 1
Canada 0
Morocco 3
Portugal 0
Spain 1
USA 1
Belgium 4
Brazil 1
Norway 2
Mexico 2
England 3
Argentina 3
Egypt 2
Switzerland 1
Colombia 0
Quarter-finals
France 2
Morocco 0
Spain 2
Belgium 1
Norway 1
England 2
Argentina 3
Switzerland 1
Semi-finals
France 0
Spain 2
England 1
Argentina 2
Final
Spain 1
Argentina 0
France 4
England 6
