Sport Picks
Spain vs Czech Republic - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Europe
UEFA Nations League Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere, Oviedo 
Match Events
6'
6'
Lamine Yamal
Assist: Olmo D.
35'
35'
Rodri
46'
46'
Sub
Baena A. In: Pino Y.
Out: Baena A.
AI Match Summary
The UEFA Nations League game between Spain and Czech Republic finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spain.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spain
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Spain come out ahead of Czech Republic on wins alone.
- Spain are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Spain have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Spain Clean Sheet 68%
Czech Republic Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Spain | Czech Republic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 37 | 33 |
| Wins | 30 | 16 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 1 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.51 | 1.64 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.78 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 0.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Spain vs Czech Republic
3:1
Jun 12, 2022 UEFA Nations League
Spain vs Czech Republic
2:0
Jun 5, 2022 UEFA Nations League
Czech Republic vs Spain
2:2
Jun 13, 2016 Euro
Spain vs Czech Republic
1:0
Oct 7, 2011 Euro
Czech Republic vs Spain
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Spain Compare
Top Goalscorer Lamine Yamal
1 Goals Assists Leader Rodri
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Czech Republic Compare
Top Goalscorer Slama J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Spain 95 / 100
Czech Republic 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Spain Czech Republic
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Spain Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Spain scored in 92% of their last 37 games.
Recent resilience: Spain stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Czech Republic's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
Defensive concern: Czech Republic conceded in 73% of 33 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Spain VS Czech Republic
2 Goals Scored 0.88
0.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Spain
(Home) 06 Oct
Croatia
1 : 2 Spain
03 Oct
Spain
3 : 1 Czech Republic
29 Sept
Spain
4 : 1 Croatia
26 Sept
England
2 : 3 Spain
19 Jul
Spain
1 : 0 Argentina
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03 Oct
Spain
3 : 1 Czech Republic
29 Sept
Spain
4 : 1 Croatia
19 Jul
Spain
1 : 0 Argentina
10 Jul
Spain
2 : 1 Belgium
02 Jul
Spain
3 : 0 Austria
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Czech Republic
(Away) 06 Oct
England
3 : 0 Czech Republic
03 Oct
Spain
3 : 1 Czech Republic
29 Sept
Czech Republic
0 : 2 England
26 Sept
Czech Republic
1 : 2 Croatia
25 Jun
Czech Republic
0 : 3 Mexico
Page 1 of 7
06 Oct
England
3 : 0 Czech Republic
03 Oct
Spain
3 : 1 Czech Republic
12 Jun
South Korea
2 : 1 Czech Republic
12 Oct
Faroe Islands
2 : 1 Czech Republic
05 Sept
Montenegro
0 : 2 Czech Republic
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 10 |
| 2 | Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 7 |
| 3 | Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 4 | Turkey | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | 8 |
| 2 | Greece | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 8 |
| 3 | Germany | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 5 |
| 4 | Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:8 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:5 | 12 |
| 2 | England | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Croatia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:14 | 3 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:10 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 6 |
| 3 | Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | 3 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
