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Spain vs Georgia

Europe Europe

Euro 2024 RheinEnergieStadion
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Spain play Georgia in the Euro 2024. Spain are favorites here. Recently, Spain averaged 2.53 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. Georgia averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, Spain won 5, Georgia won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 15, 2025 ended 0:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.25 for Spain and 0.69 for Georgia. This points to a Spain double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Spain
15%
Draws
28%
Georgia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Spain picked up more points recently compared to Georgia.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.25 vs 0.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Spain Clean Sheet 28%
Georgia Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spain Georgia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 23 13
Draws 6 6
Losses 1 11
Goals Scored 2.53 1.67
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2025 World Championship
Georgia vs Spain
0:4
Oct 11, 2025 World Championship
Spain vs Georgia
2:0
Jun 30, 2024 Euro
Spain vs Georgia
4:1
Nov 19, 2023 Euro
Spain vs Georgia
3:1
Sep 8, 2023 Euro
Georgia vs Spain
1:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spain Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodri
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ruiz F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Georgia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spain 57 / 100
Georgia 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spain Georgia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spain Win (1)
Secondary Pick Spain & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.3%
2.04
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Spain attacking → ← attacking Georgia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spain scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Georgia let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Spain went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Georgia lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

75 Points in last 5 45
2.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88