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Spain vs Georgia

Europe Europe

Euro 2024 RheinEnergieStadion, Cologne
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Le Normand R.
Assist: Kakabadze O.
Own Goal
39' Event
Rodri
Assist: Williams N.
41'
Sub
Kiteishvili O. In: Altunashvili S.
Out: Kiteishvili O.

AI Match Summary

Spain in this Euro 2024 tie, finishing 4-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Spain
20%
Draws
28%
Georgia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Spain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Spain have won more games recently than Georgia.
  • Model gives Spain a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Spain have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Spain, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Spain have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Spain Clean Sheet 68%
Georgia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spain Georgia
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 25 13
Draws 6 6
Losses 1 11
Goals Scored 2.47 1.67
Goals Conceded 0.78 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2025 World Championship
Georgia vs Spain
0:4
Oct 11, 2025 World Championship
Spain vs Georgia
2:0
Jun 30, 2024 Euro
Spain vs Georgia
4:1
Nov 19, 2023 Euro
Spain vs Georgia
3:1
Sep 8, 2023 Euro
Georgia vs Spain
1:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spain Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodri
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ruiz F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Georgia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.84
Avg xA / game 0.51

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spain 95 / 100
Georgia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spain Georgia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spain Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spain found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (32 games).

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Spain stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Georgia conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Spain VS Georgia
1.63 Goals Scored 1.33
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Spain

(Home)
19 Jul
Spain
1 : 0
Argentina
14 Jul
France
0 : 2
Spain
10 Jul
Spain
2 : 1
Belgium
06 Jul
Portugal
0 : 1
Spain
02 Jul
Spain
3 : 0
Austria
Page 1 of 7

Georgia

(Away)
05 Jun
Georgia
2 : 0
Bahrain
02 Jun
Georgia
1 : 1
Romania
29 Mar
Lithuania
0 : 2
Georgia
26 Mar
Georgia
2 : 2
Israel
18 Nov
Bulgaria
2 : 1
Georgia
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Spain 4
Georgia 1
Germany 2
Denmark 0
Portugal 1
Slovenia 0
France 1
Belgium 0
Romania 0
Netherlands 3
Austria 1
Turkey 2
England 2
Slovakia 1
Switzerland 2
Italy 0
Quarter-finals
Spain 2
Germany 1
Portugal 0
France 1
Netherlands 2
Turkey 1
England 2
Switzerland 1
Semi-finals
Spain 2
France 1
Netherlands 1
England 2
Final
Spain 2
England 1