Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA

Spain

4 - 0

Saudi Arabia

Our Tip

Match Events

10'

Lamine Yamal

Assist: Oyarzabal M.

21'

Oyarzabal M.

Assist: Laporte A.

24'

Oyarzabal M.

Assist: Olmo D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Spain in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spain.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Spain

30%

Draws

20%

Saudi Arabia

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Spain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence

Spain have won more games recently than Saudi Arabia.
50% — that's where the model lands on Spain taking it.
Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Spain have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%

Spain Clean Sheet 68%

Saudi Arabia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Spain	Saudi Arabia
Matches Played	29	32
Wins	22	12
Draws	6	8
Losses	1	12
Goals Scored	2.41	1.03
Goals Conceded	0.76	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.56	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 World Championship

Spain vs Saudi Arabia

4:0

Sep 7, 2012 Friendly International

Spain vs Saudi Arabia

5:0

May 29, 2010 Friendly International

Spain vs Saudi Arabia

3:2

Jun 23, 2006 World Championship

Saudi Arabia vs Spain

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spain Compare

Top Goalscorer Oyarzabal M.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Lamine Yamal

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.2

Avg xA / game 0.78

Saudi Arabia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45

Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spain 95 / 100

Saudi Arabia 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Spain Saudi Arabia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spain Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spain found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

Spain has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Saudi Arabia conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Spain VS Saudi Arabia

1.5 Goals Scored 0.75

0.25 Goals Conceded 1.63

50% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Spain

(Home)

19 Jul

Spain

1 : 0

Argentina

14 Jul

France

0 : 2

Spain

10 Jul

Spain

2 : 1

Belgium

06 Jul

Portugal

0 : 1

Spain

02 Jul

Spain

3 : 0

Austria

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Saudi Arabia

(Away)

27 Jun

Cape Verde

0 : 0

Saudi Arabia

21 Jun

Spain

4 : 0

Saudi Arabia

15 Jun

Saudi Arabia

1 : 1

Uruguay

09 Jun

Saudi Arabia

0 : 0

Senegal

05 Jun

Puerto Rico

0 : 3

Saudi Arabia

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