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Spain vs Serbia

World World

Friendly International Estadio de la Ceramica, Villarreal
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Oyarzabal M.
Assist: Fermín
43' Event
Oyarzabal M.
Assist: Cubarsi P.
46'
Sub
Pedri In: Olmo D.
Out: Pedri

AI Match Summary

Spain in this Friendly International matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spain.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Spain
15%
Draws
24%
Serbia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Serbia haven't matched Spain's recent run of results.
  • Spain are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Spain have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Spain Clean Sheet 68%
Serbia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spain Serbia
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 24 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 1 12
Goals Scored 2.48 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.90 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 Friendly International
Spain vs Serbia
3:0
Oct 15, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Spain vs Serbia
3:0
Sep 5, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Serbia vs Spain
0:0
May 26, 2012 Friendly International
Spain vs Serbia
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spain Compare

Top Goalscorer Oyarzabal M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Munoz V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.95

Serbia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.37

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spain 95 / 100
Serbia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spain Serbia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spain Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spain's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Spain went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Serbia has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Spain VS Serbia
1.63 Goals Scored 0.83
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.17
63% Over 1.5 83%
50% Over 2.5 83%
38% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Spain

(Home)
19 Jul
Spain
1 : 0
Argentina
14 Jul
France
0 : 2
Spain
10 Jul
Spain
2 : 1
Belgium
06 Jul
Portugal
0 : 1
Spain
02 Jul
Spain
3 : 0
Austria
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Serbia

(Away)
05 Jun
Mexico
5 : 1
Serbia
31 May
Cape Verde
3 : 0
Serbia
31 Mar
Serbia
2 : 1
Saudi Arabia
27 Mar
Spain
3 : 0
Serbia
16 Nov
Serbia
2 : 1
Latvia
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