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Spain W vs England W Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

World Cup Women Estadi Mallorca Son Moix, Palma de Mallorca
Spain W Logo

Spain W

4 - 0
FT
England W Logo

England W

Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Guijarro P.
Assist: Caldentey M.
37' Event
Putellas A.
Assist: Caldentey M.
55' Event
Putellas A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. The second leg ended 4-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Spain W
15%
Draws
42%
England W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spain W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Spain W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Spain W taking it.
  • Spain W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Spain W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Spain W Clean Sheet 11%
England W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spain W England W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 22 20
Draws 3 3
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 2.9 2.62
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 World Cup Women
Spain W vs England W
4:0
Apr 14, 2026 World Cup Women
England W vs Spain W
1:0
Jul 27, 2025 Euro Women
England W vs Spain W
2:1
Jun 3, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Spain W vs England W
2:1
Feb 26, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
England W vs Spain W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spain W Compare

Top Goalscorer Putellas A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Guijarro P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

England W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spain W 83 / 100
England W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spain W England W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spain W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spain W found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Spain W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: England W conceded in 48% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Spain W VS England W
1.88 Goals Scored 3.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Spain W

(Home)
09 Jun
Iceland W
1 : 6
Spain W
05 Jun
Spain W
4 : 0
England W
18 Apr
Spain W
5 : 0
Ukraine W
14 Apr
England W
1 : 0
Spain W
07 Mar
Ukraine W
1 : 3
Spain W
Page 1 of 6

England W

(Away)
09 Jun
England W
3 : 0
Ukraine W
05 Jun
Spain W
4 : 0
England W
18 Apr
Iceland W
0 : 1
England W
14 Apr
England W
1 : 0
Spain W
07 Mar
England W
2 : 0
Iceland W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Denmark W 6 4 2 0 12:5 14
2 Italy W 6 2 3 1 12:4 9
3 Sweden W 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
4 Serbia W 6 0 1 5 2:17 1
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France W 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
2 Netherlands W 6 3 2 1 12:9 11
3 Ireland W 6 3 0 3 9:9 9
4 Poland W 6 0 1 5 6:15 1
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain W 6 5 0 1 21:3 15
2 England W 6 5 0 1 13:5 15
3 Iceland W 6 2 0 4 3:12 6
4 Ukraine W 6 0 0 6 2:19 0
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany W 6 5 1 0 18:1 16
2 Norway W 6 4 0 2 11:9 12
3 Austria W 6 1 1 4 3:9 4
4 Slovenia W 6 1 0 5 3:16 3
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)