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Spakenburg vs AFC Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Tweede Divisie Sportpark De Westmaat, Spakenburg
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Match Events

17' Event
van Huffel S.
Assist: el Azzouti A.
28'
Ederveen S.
42' Event
Fonseca R.
Assist: Oostwoud C.

AI Match Summary

The Tweede Divisie game between Spakenburg and AFC finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spakenburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Spakenburg
20%
Draws
51%
AFC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AFC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Spakenburg's 1.75 goals per match outpaces what AFC have produced (1.64).
  • Win probability leans AFC's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Spakenburg Clean Sheet 10%
AFC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spakenburg AFC
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.75 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Spakenburg vs AFC
2:1
Mar 28, 2026 Tweede Divisie
AFC vs Spakenburg
2:0
Oct 25, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Spakenburg vs AFC
2:1
Aug 9, 2025 Club Friendly
Spakenburg vs AFC
3:2
Feb 22, 2025 Tweede Divisie
AFC vs Spakenburg
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spakenburg Compare

Top Goalscorer van Huffel S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader van der Weijden M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

AFC Compare

Top Goalscorer Fonseca R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spakenburg 10 / 100
AFC 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spakenburg AFC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spakenburg's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

AFC let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Spakenburg went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spakenburg VS AFC
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Spakenburg

(Home)
26 Sept
De Treffers
5 : 0
Spakenburg
22 Sept
RKAV Volendam
3 : 2
Spakenburg
19 Sept
Spakenburg
1 : 1
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
12 Sept
Jong Almere City
0 : 3
Spakenburg
05 Sept
Spakenburg
1 : 3
Barendrecht
Page 1 of 6

AFC

(Away)
26 Sept
AFC
0 : 1
Katwijk
22 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 6
AFC
19 Sept
Koninklijke HFC
1 : 3
AFC
12 Sept
AFC
2 : 2
Hardenberg
05 Sept
Rijnsburgse Boys
3 : 0
AFC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quick Boys 7 6 0 1 19:4 18
2 De Treffers 7 4 3 0 19:6 15
3 Kozakken Boys 7 4 2 1 18:11 14
4 IJsselmeervogels 6 4 1 1 9:3 13
5 Jong Sparta Rotterdam 7 3 3 1 21:12 12
6 Hardenberg 7 3 2 2 13:11 11
7 Barendrecht 7 3 2 2 12:10 11
8 Katwijk 7 3 2 2 10:8 11
9 AFC 7 3 1 3 11:12 10
10 Spakenburg 7 3 1 3 9:11 10
11 RKAV Volendam 7 2 3 2 9:13 9
12 Rijnsburgse Boys 7 2 1 4 11:21 7
13 GVVV 6 2 0 4 11:16 6
14 Koninklijke HFC 7 1 3 3 9:13 6
15 HSV Hoek 7 1 3 3 8:12 6
16 VV Kloetinge 7 1 3 3 10:17 6
17 Jong Almere City 7 1 1 5 11:16 4
18 Rohda Raalte 7 0 1 6 6:20 1
Relegation - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)