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Spakenburg vs Barendrecht - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Tweede Divisie Sportpark De Westmaat, Spakenburg
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Kok O.
24'
Fortes E.
26' Event
Veenhoven M.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Tweede Divisie game between Spakenburg and Barendrecht finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barendrecht.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Spakenburg
30%
Draws
43%
Barendrecht
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Barendrecht

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Spakenburg haven't matched Barendrecht's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Barendrecht's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Spakenburg Clean Sheet 15%
Barendrecht Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spakenburg Barendrecht
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.76 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Spakenburg vs Barendrecht
1:3
Apr 18, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Barendrecht vs Spakenburg
0:3
Nov 15, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Spakenburg vs Barendrecht
8:0
Mar 15, 2025 Tweede Divisie
Barendrecht vs Spakenburg
2:2
Oct 12, 2024 Tweede Divisie
Spakenburg vs Barendrecht
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spakenburg Compare

Top Goalscorer van Lopik H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Barendrecht Compare

Top Goalscorer Hooreman F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bakour M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spakenburg 19 / 100
Barendrecht 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spakenburg Barendrecht

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barendrecht Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spakenburg found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Barendrecht conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Spakenburg went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spakenburg VS Barendrecht
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Spakenburg

(Home)
03 Oct
Spakenburg
2 : 1
AFC
26 Sept
De Treffers
5 : 0
Spakenburg
22 Sept
RKAV Volendam
3 : 2
Spakenburg
19 Sept
Spakenburg
1 : 1
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
12 Sept
Jong Almere City
0 : 3
Spakenburg
Page 1 of 6

Barendrecht

(Away)
03 Oct
Barendrecht
3 : 2
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
26 Sept
Jong Almere City
1 : 4
Barendrecht
22 Sept
Hardenberg
0 : 1
Barendrecht
19 Sept
RKAV Volendam
1 : 1
Barendrecht
12 Sept
Barendrecht
1 : 1
HSV Hoek
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quick Boys 8 7 0 1 22:6 21
2 Kozakken Boys 8 5 2 1 23:12 17
3 De Treffers 8 4 3 1 20:9 15
4 Hardenberg 8 4 2 2 15:12 14
5 Barendrecht 8 4 2 2 15:12 14
6 IJsselmeervogels 7 4 1 2 10:5 13
7 Spakenburg 8 4 1 3 11:12 13
8 Jong Sparta Rotterdam 8 3 3 2 23:15 12
9 Katwijk 8 3 2 3 11:13 11
10 AFC 8 3 1 4 12:14 10
11 Rijnsburgse Boys 8 3 1 4 15:22 10
12 GVVV 7 3 0 4 14:17 9
13 HSV Hoek 8 2 3 3 11:13 9
14 RKAV Volendam 8 2 3 3 10:17 9
15 Jong Almere City 8 2 1 5 15:17 7
16 Koninklijke HFC 8 1 3 4 11:16 6
17 VV Kloetinge 8 1 3 4 11:21 6
18 Rohda Raalte 8 0 1 7 7:23 1
Relegation - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)