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Spal U19 vs Alessandria U19 Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Primavera 2 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Camelio U.
51' Event
Angeletti T.

AI Match Summary

Spal U19 in this Primavera 2 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spal U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Spal U19
15%
Draws
73%
Alessandria U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alessandria U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

12% / Low Confidence
  • Spal U19 have won more games recently than Alessandria U19.
  • Model gives Spal U19 a 12% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Spal U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Alessandria U19 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spal U19 Alessandria U19
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 14 5
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.09 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.15 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2024 Primavera 2
Spal U19 vs Alessandria U19
2:0
Nov 25, 2023 Primavera 2
Alessandria U19 vs Spal U19
1:1
Apr 15, 2023 Primavera 2
Alessandria U19 vs Spal U19
1:2
Dec 3, 2022 Primavera 2
Spal U19 vs Alessandria U19
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spal U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Camelio U.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Angeletti T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Alessandria U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spal U19 85 / 100
Alessandria U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spal U19 Alessandria U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spal U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Alessandria U19 conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Spal U19 found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (33 games).

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Difficult form: Alessandria U19 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spal U19 VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Spal U19

(Home)
10 May
Spal U19
1 : 1
Modena U19
03 May
Entella U19
3 : 1
Spal U19
28 Apr
Spal U19
0 : 1
Parma U19
18 Apr
Spal U19
2 : 3
Cittadella U19
12 Apr
AlbinoLeffe U19
2 : 1
Spal U19
Page 1 of 7

Alessandria U19

(Away)
25 May
Crotone U19
3 : 0
Alessandria U19
18 May
Alessandria U19
3 : 1
Crotone U19
11 May
Padova U19
1 : 0
Alessandria U19
04 May
Alessandria U19
0 : 10
Brescia U19
27 Apr
Renate U19
1 : 3
Alessandria U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cremonese U19 30 23 6 1 84:32 75
2 Parma U19 30 17 5 8 60:37 56
3 Venezia U19 30 15 9 6 67:39 54
4 Udinese U19 30 16 3 11 60:45 51
5 AlbinoLeffe U19 30 15 4 11 49:51 49
6 Como U19 30 13 4 13 59:58 43
7 Vicenza U19 30 11 10 9 37:40 43
8 Spal U19 30 11 7 12 44:46 40
9 Sudtirol U19 30 11 6 13 43:53 39
10 Padova U19 30 11 6 13 45:57 39
11 Reggiana U19 30 10 6 14 27:36 36
12 Brescia U19 30 10 5 15 53:46 35
13 Renate U19 30 10 5 15 31:39 35
14 FeralpiSalo U19 30 7 7 16 39:63 28
15 Cittadella U19 30 6 8 16 41:59 26
16 Alessandria U19 30 5 7 18 30:68 22
Promotion - Primavera 1 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2023/2024 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2023/2024 (Play Out)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cesena U19 30 22 7 1 95:29 73
2 Benevento U19 30 17 9 4 66:42 60
3 Napoli U19 30 16 6 8 46:29 54
4 Pisa U19 30 14 6 10 45:37 48
5 Ascoli U19 30 14 5 11 49:41 47
6 Entella U19 30 12 9 9 45:36 45
7 Cosenza U19 30 9 13 8 34:37 40
8 Palermo U19 30 10 8 12 35:39 38
9 Perugia U19 30 10 8 12 52:57 38
10 Bari U19 30 10 7 13 54:69 37
11 Spezia U19 30 8 11 11 54:51 35
12 Salernitana U19 30 7 12 11 34:53 33
13 Pescara U19 30 7 10 13 55:61 31
14 Ternana U19 30 8 7 15 30:46 31
15 Monopoli U19 30 6 5 19 25:59 23
16 Crotone U19 30 5 7 18 31:64 22
Promotion - Primavera 1 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2023/2024 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2023/2024 (Play Out)