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Spal U19 vs Parma U19

Italy Italy

Primavera 2 2024/2025
Spal U19 Logo

Spal U19

0 - 1
FT
Parma U19 Logo

Parma U19

Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Conde B.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Parma U19 in this Primavera 2 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Parma U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Spal U19
15%
Draws
76%
Parma U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Parma U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Spal U19 haven't matched Parma U19's recent run of results.
  • 76% — that's where the model lands on Parma U19 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Spal U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Parma U19 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spal U19 Parma U19
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 22
Draws 12 4
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2025 Primavera 2
Spal U19 vs Parma U19
0:1
Sep 28, 2024 Primavera 2
Parma U19 vs Spal U19
0:0
Apr 27, 2024 Primavera 2
Parma U19 vs Spal U19
2:1
Dec 16, 2023 Primavera 2
Spal U19 vs Parma U19
2:1
May 6, 2023 Primavera 2
Parma U19 vs Spal U19
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spal U19 10 / 100
Parma U19 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spal U19 Parma U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Parma U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Spal U19 scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Parma U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Spal U19 stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spal U19 VS Parma U19
0.63 Goals Scored 2.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Spal U19

(Home)
10 May
Spal U19
1 : 1
Modena U19
03 May
Entella U19
3 : 1
Spal U19
28 Apr
Spal U19
0 : 1
Parma U19
18 Apr
Spal U19
2 : 3
Cittadella U19
12 Apr
AlbinoLeffe U19
2 : 1
Spal U19
Page 1 of 6

Parma U19

(Away)
20 May
Parma U19
2 : 3
Frosinone U19
10 May
Renate U19
1 : 0
Parma U19
03 May
Parma U19
2 : 1
Reggiana U19
28 Apr
Spal U19
0 : 1
Parma U19
19 Apr
Parma U19
4 : 1
FeralpiSalo U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Parma U19 30 21 6 3 62:23 69
2 Como U19 30 21 6 3 74:21 69
3 Entella U19 30 14 10 6 53:31 52
4 Renate U19 30 15 7 8 35:31 52
5 Vicenza U19 30 14 7 9 56:41 49
6 Modena U19 30 10 8 12 57:49 38
7 Sudtirol U19 30 10 7 13 39:43 37
8 Brescia U19 30 9 9 12 39:41 36
9 AlbinoLeffe U19 30 10 5 15 40:60 35
10 Cittadella U19 30 10 5 15 38:54 35
11 Pro Vercelli U19 30 9 6 15 35:46 33
12 Spal U19 30 7 12 11 29:36 33
13 Venezia U19 30 7 11 12 35:51 32
14 Padova U19 30 8 7 15 28:43 31
15 Reggiana U19 30 7 10 13 32:57 31
16 FeralpiSalo U19 30 6 8 16 28:53 26
Promotion - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2024/2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2024/2025 (Play Out)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Frosinone U19 30 19 6 5 55:26 63
2 Ascoli U19 30 18 5 7 64:45 59
3 Napoli U19 30 17 7 6 59:32 58
4 Ternana U19 30 16 8 6 57:37 56
5 Pescara U19 30 12 9 9 47:37 45
6 Cosenza U19 30 13 4 13 39:42 43
7 Pisa U19 30 12 7 11 53:42 43
8 Benevento U19 30 12 5 13 44:41 41
9 Palermo U19 30 11 7 12 42:44 40
10 Spezia U19 30 9 10 11 36:37 37
11 Avellino U19 30 8 7 15 45:65 31
12 Bari U19 30 7 10 13 28:44 31
13 Salernitana U19 30 7 10 13 43:54 31
14 Perugia U19 30 7 9 14 34:54 30
15 Monopoli U19 30 8 4 18 33:56 28
16 Crotone U19 30 7 6 17 45:68 27
Promotion - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2024/2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2024/2025 (Play Out)