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Spalding United vs Gorleston

England England

FA Cup 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Spalding United advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Spalding United
20%
Draws
42%
Gorleston
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gorleston

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Gorleston haven't matched Spalding United's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Spalding United's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Spalding United have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Spalding United, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Spalding United Clean Sheet 11%
Gorleston Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spalding United Gorleston
Matches Played 29 22
Wins 16 8
Draws 7 1
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.9 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.14 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2013 FA Cup
Spalding United vs Gorleston
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spalding United 35 / 100
Gorleston 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spalding United Gorleston

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spalding United scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Gorleston let in goals in 86% of their last 22 matches.

Spalding United went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Spalding United VS Gorleston
2.25 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Spalding United

(Home)
05 Sept
Spalding United
2 : 0
Southport
31 Aug
South Shields
1 : 1
Spalding United
29 Aug
Spalding United
3 : 1
Worksop
22 Aug
Chester
1 : 0
Spalding United
18 Aug
Spalding United
0 : 0
Macclesfield
Page 1 of 6

Gorleston

(Away)
05 Sept
Leighton Town
1 : 4
Gorleston
29 Aug
Stotfold
0 : 3
Gorleston
28 Jul
Gorleston
1 : 3
Leiston
13 Sept
Waltham Abbey
2 : 0
Gorleston
30 Aug
March Town
1 : 3
Gorleston
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Macclesfield -
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Carlton Town 3
Brigg Town 2
Basford Utd. 0
Matlock 2
Chorley 1
United of Manchester 0
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Vauxhall -
Stamford 3
Grantham Town 2
Walsall Wood 4
Wulfrunians 5
AFC Fylde 3
Blyth Spartans 1
Witton Albion 1
Ashton United 2
Hednesford -
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Telford -
Skelmersdale 3
Northwich Victoria 0
Whitby 2
West Auckland Town 5
Grimsby -
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Stockport County -
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Crook Town 1
Brighouse Town 4
Gainsborough -
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Hinckley 0
Rushall 3
Rugby 2
Nantwich 1
Dunkirk 1
Blaby & Whetstone 2
Coventry Sphinx 2
Tividale 1
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Worcester -
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Lincoln City -
Bradford PA -
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Guiseley -
Scarborough Athletic 4
Team Northumbria 0
Padiham 1
Penrith 3
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Kidderminster -
Wrexham -
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Hyde -
Workington -
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Radcliffe 1
Burscough 2
Roofing 1
Morpeth 0
Bishop Auckland 2
FC Guisborough Town 4
Curzon Ashton 4
Marine 2
Spennymoor 0
Lancaster 1
Sutton Coldfield Town 4
Newcastle Town 2
Evesham 0
Stourbridge 3
Southport -
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Halesowen 2
Brocton 1
Kidsgrove Athletic 0
Tipton Town 2
Frickley 4
Sheffield FC 1
Albion Sports 0
Marske United 3
Colwyn Bay -
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Harrogate -
Warrington Town 1
New Mills 0
Bamber Bridge 3
Ossett Town 4
Trafford 5
Droylsden 1
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Altrincham -
Mickleover 2
Loughborough Students 0
Barwell 0
Corby 3
Tamworth -
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Worksop 5
Bootle 1
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Stalybridge -
Leamington -
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Solihull Moors -
Nuneaton -
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Halifax -
North Ferriby United -
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Prescot Cables 0
Buxton 1
Cammell Laird 3
Worksop Parramore 1
Glossop North End 1
Runcorn Linnets 2
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Alfreton -
Brackley -
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Eastwood 2
Gresley 3
Stafford 2
Chasetown 0
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Boston United -
Atherstone 5
Redditch 4
Long Eaton 2
Coalville Town 3
Ramsbottom Utd 5
Stocksbridge 2
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Barrow -
Chester -
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Gateshead -
Hemel Hempstead 7
Margaretsbury 0
Mildenhall 2
FC Witham Town 4
Margate 2
Kingstonian 1
Shoreham 0
Dulwich Hamlet 6
Lewes 3
Peacehaven & Telscombe 2
Metropolitan Police 0
Chalfont St Peter 1
Whitehawk -
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Sutton -
Hornchurch 3
East Thurrock Utd 2
Gorleston 0
Spalding United 1
Haringey Borough 2
Wembley 0
Kings Langley 1
Wealdstone 6
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Hereford -
Ebbsfleet -
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Eastbourne United 0
Folkestone 2
Farnborough -
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Eastbourne Borough -
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Dartford -
Barnet -
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Histon -
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Chesham 1
Royston Town 2
St Ives Town 4
Dereham 1
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Concord Rangers -
Chatham 2
East Preston 1
Horley Town 0
Whyteleafe 3
Faversham 3
Cray Wanderers 0
South Park 3
Horsham FC 6
Tonbridge -
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Hayes & Yeading -
Billericay 2
Leiston 0
Enfield Town 1
St. Albans 6
Dover Ath. -
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Hastings 2
Guernsey FC 3
Cambridge City 5
King’s Lynn 1
Cockfosters 2
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 10
Eastleigh -
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Winchester City 1
Mangotsfield 2
Maidenhead -
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Oxford City -
Boreham Wood -
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Uxbridge 2
Barton 3
Merstham 1
Corinthian-Casuals 0
Three Bridges 0
Maidstone 1
Bromley -
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Alton FC 1
Burgess Hill 8
Harlow 2
Lowestoft 1
Maldon & Tiptree 0
Heybridge 2
Bath City -
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Gosport Borough -
Bristol Manor Farm 5
Corsham Town 4
Merthyr Town 1
Bridgwater United 2
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Salisbury -
Gloucester City -
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Havant & Waterlooville -
Bideford 3
Larkhall 0
Chippenham Town 2
Yate 3
Arlesey 3
Hitchin 1
Bury Town 0
Thurrock 2
Bedford 6
Greenhouse 2
Ashford Town 2
Hampton & Richmond 4
Weymouth 1
Fareham 0
Frome Town 1
Bognor Regis 5
Portchester 5
Horndean 0
Banbury 1
Cirencester 2
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Braintree -
Forest Green -
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Chipstead 2
Hassocks 1
Highmoor Ibis 0
Chertsey Town 4
Hendon 7
Biggleswade United 1
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Stortford -
Needham Market 3
Brantham 2
Hertford Town 2
Dunstable Town 1
Sleaford Town 2
Huntingdon 1
Burnham Ramblers 1
Sudbury 2
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Cambridge Utd -
Biggleswade Town 4
Wingate & Finchley 3
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Chelmsford -
Binfield 6
Ardley United 3
Carshalton 1
Leatherhead 2
North Greenford Utd. 4
Harrow Borough 3
Brentwood 4
FC Clacton 5
Neots 3
Wroxham 1
Aveley 2
Canvey Island 5
Shortwood 5
Aylesbury Vale 1
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Dorchester -
Burnham FC 4
Beaconsfield Town 2
North Leigh 1
Didcot 2
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Aldershot -
Woking -
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Luton -
Brislington 2
Wells City 1
Street 0
Truro 1
Basingstoke -
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Weston-super-Mare -
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Welling -
Hartley Wintney 2
Camberley Town 0
Tunbridge Wells 2
Eastbourne Town 3
Sholing 4
AFC Totton 0
Plymouth Parkway 0
Clevedon 1
Daventry 6
Berkhamsted Town 1
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 1
Belper Town 2
Tilbury 2
Waltham Abbey 1
Romford 1
Grays 2
Staines -
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Westfields 1
Aylesbury United 3
Thamesmead 2
Redhill 0
Littlehampton 2
Sittingbourne 3
Hungerford 4
Cove 0
Moneyfields 0
Bashley 2
Hamworthy United 2
Hallen 1
Brockenhurst 0
Poole Town 2
Quarter-finals
Macclesfield -
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Carlton Town 1
Matlock 0
Chorley 0
Vauxhall 4
Stamford 4
Wulfrunians 1
AFC Fylde 0
Ashton United 1
Hednesford 3
Telford 1
Skelmersdale 0
West Auckland Town 5
Grimsby -
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Stockport County 1
Brighouse Town 0
Gainsborough 2
Rushall 0
Rugby 6
Blaby & Whetstone 0
Coventry Sphinx 0
Worcester 4
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Lincoln City -
Bradford PA 2
Guiseley 1
Scarborough Athletic 3
Penrith 4
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Kidderminster -
Wrexham -
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Hyde -
Workington 2
Burscough 1
Roofing 4
FC Guisborough Town 6
Curzon Ashton 2
Lancaster 1
Sutton Coldfield Town 2
Stourbridge 3
Southport -
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Halesowen 5
Tipton Town 0
Frickley 0
Marske United 3
Colwyn Bay 1
Harrogate 0
Warrington Town 2
Ossett Town 4
Trafford 2
Altrincham 1
Mickleover 5
Corby 8
Tamworth -
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Worksop 5
Stalybridge 3
Leamington 2
Solihull Moors 3
Nuneaton -
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Halifax -
North Ferriby United 4
Buxton 1
Cammell Laird 0
Runcorn Linnets 1
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Alfreton -
Brackley 2
Gresley 1
Stafford 0
Boston United 4
Atherstone 1
Coalville Town 0
Ramsbottom Utd 0
Barrow 3
Chester -
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Gateshead -
Hemel Hempstead 5
FC Witham Town 4
Margate 1
Dulwich Hamlet 2
Lewes 1
Chalfont St Peter 0
Whitehawk 0
Sutton 1
Hornchurch 4
Spalding United 1
Haringey Borough 1
Wealdstone 4
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Hereford -
Ebbsfleet 1
Folkestone 0
Farnborough 0
Eastbourne Borough 2
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Dartford -
Barnet -
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Histon 4
Royston Town 0
St Ives Town 3
Concord Rangers 4
Chatham 2
Whyteleafe 1
Faversham 0
Horsham FC 2
Tonbridge 2
Hayes & Yeading 1
Billericay 0
St. Albans 2
Dover Ath. 3
Guernsey FC 2
Cambridge City 2
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3
Eastleigh 4
Mangotsfield 0
Maidenhead 0
Oxford City 1
Boreham Wood 3
Barton 0
Merstham 1
Maidstone 4
Bromley 1
Burgess Hill 0
Harlow 2
Heybridge 3
Bath City 2
Gosport Borough 0
Bristol Manor Farm 5
Bridgwater United 6
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Salisbury -
Gloucester City 4
Havant & Waterlooville 3
Bideford 1
Yate 2
Arlesey 1
Thurrock 0
Bedford 0
Hampton & Richmond 1
Weymouth 6
Bognor Regis 3
Portchester 0
Cirencester 2
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Braintree -
Forest Green -
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Chipstead 2
Chertsey Town 1
Hendon 0
Stortford 5
Needham Market 3
Dunstable Town 1
Sleaford Town -
Sudbury -
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Cambridge Utd -
Biggleswade Town 2
Chelmsford 0
Binfield 1
Leatherhead 2
North Greenford Utd. 4
FC Clacton 2
Neots 3
Canvey Island 4
Shortwood 1
Dorchester 0
Burnham FC 1
Didcot 2
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Aldershot -
Woking -
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Luton -
Brislington 3
Truro 2
Basingstoke 1
Weston-super-Mare 3
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Welling -
Hartley Wintney 5
Eastbourne Town 1
Sholing 0
Clevedon 2
Daventry 3
Belper Town 1
Tilbury 0
Grays 3
Staines 3
Aylesbury United 0
Thamesmead 1
Sittingbourne 2
Hungerford 3
Bashley 0
Hamworthy United 2
Poole Town 4
Semi-finals
Macclesfield -
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Carlton Town 1
Vauxhall 3
Stamford 4
Ashton United 2
Hednesford 5
West Auckland Town 4
Grimsby -
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Stockport County 0
Rushall 1
Rugby 0
Worcester 2
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Lincoln City -
Bradford PA 2
Penrith 1
TBD -
Kidderminster -
Wrexham -
TBD -
TBD -
Hyde -
Workington 4
FC Guisborough Town 1
Curzon Ashton 0
Stourbridge 3
Southport -
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Halesowen 2
Marske United 3
Colwyn Bay 2
Ossett Town 1
Trafford 2
Corby 4
Tamworth -
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Worksop 0
Solihull Moors 4
Nuneaton -
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TBD -
Halifax -
North Ferriby United 2
Runcorn Linnets 0
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Alfreton -
Brackley 2
Boston United 0
Atherstone 0
Barrow 4
Chester -
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Gateshead -
Hemel Hempstead 3
Dulwich Hamlet 1
Lewes 0
Sutton 1
Hornchurch 6
Wealdstone 1
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Hereford -
Ebbsfleet 2
Eastbourne Borough 0
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Dartford -
Barnet -
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Histon 1
Concord Rangers 2
Chatham 1
Horsham FC 0
Tonbridge 1
St. Albans 2
Dover Ath. 3
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1
Eastleigh 2
Oxford City 3
Boreham Wood 2
Maidstone 0
Bromley 1
Heybridge 2
Bath City 3
Bridgwater United 0
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Salisbury -
Gloucester City 9
Yate 2
Arlesey 1
Hampton & Richmond 5
Weymouth 2
Cirencester 1
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Braintree -
Forest Green -
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Chipstead 1
Stortford 6
Needham Market 2
Sudbury 1
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Cambridge Utd -
Biggleswade Town 5
Leatherhead 1
North Greenford Utd. 1
Canvey Island 2
Shortwood 1
Didcot 0
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Aldershot -
Woking -
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Luton -
Brislington 3
Weston-super-Mare 2
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Welling -
Hartley Wintney 5
Clevedon 4
Daventry 4
Grays 0
Staines 4
Sittingbourne 1
Hungerford 0
Poole Town 2
Stage 5
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Stage 4
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Stage 3
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Stage 2
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Stage 1
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Final
Macclesfield 7
Vauxhall 0
Stamford 0
Hednesford 2
Grimsby 3
Rushall 0
Worcester 1
Lincoln City 4
Bradford PA 2
Kidderminster 3
Wrexham 2
Hyde 0
Workington 1
Stourbridge 3
Southport 6
Marske United 2
Colwyn Bay 1
Corby 3
Tamworth 4
Solihull Moors 1
Nuneaton 0
Halifax 2
North Ferriby United 1
Alfreton 3
Brackley 1
Barrow 0
Chester 0
Gateshead 1
Hemel Hempstead 3
Sutton 5
Hornchurch 0
Hereford 1
Ebbsfleet 1
Dartford 2
Barnet 3
Concord Rangers 0
Chatham 0
St. Albans 2
Dover Ath. 3
Oxford City 0
Boreham Wood 1
Heybridge 0
Bath City 0
Salisbury 1
Gloucester City 3
Hampton & Richmond 1
Weymouth 1
Braintree 2
Forest Green 0
Stortford 1
Needham Market 0
Cambridge Utd 1
Biggleswade Town 1
Canvey Island 0
Shortwood 3
Aldershot 2
Woking 0
Luton 1
Brislington 0
Welling 1
Hartley Wintney 1
Daventry 6
Staines 1
Poole Town 0