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Spalding United vs Oxford City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League North
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Marsh T.

AI Match Summary

The National League North game between Spalding United and Oxford City finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Oxford City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Spalding United
20%
Draws
52%
Oxford City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Oxford City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Spalding United haven't matched Oxford City's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Oxford City a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Spalding United Clean Sheet 14%
Oxford City Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spalding United Oxford City
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 17
Draws 7 5
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.79 2.04
Goals Conceded 1.11 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 National League North
Spalding United vs Oxford City
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spalding United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Oxford City Compare

Top Goalscorer Marsh T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spalding United 15 / 100
Oxford City 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spalding United Oxford City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oxford City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spalding United found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Oxford City conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Spalding United stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Spalding United VS Oxford City
1.88 Goals Scored 2.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Spalding United

(Home)
10 Oct
Marine
1 : 0
Spalding United
06 Oct
Spalding United
4 : 0
Bury Town
03 Oct
Bury Town
1 : 1
Spalding United
26 Sept
Chorley
2 : 1
Spalding United
19 Sept
Spalding United
2 : 0
Hanley Town
Page 1 of 6

Oxford City

(Away)
10 Oct
Hebburn Town
0 : 3
Oxford City
03 Oct
Oxford City
6 : 1
Enfield Town
26 Sept
Oxford City
1 : 1
Morecambe
19 Sept
Dorchester
0 : 2
Oxford City
12 Sept
Radcliffe
0 : 3
Oxford City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Macclesfield 11 7 3 1 17:9 24
2 Hereford 11 7 2 2 22:6 23
3 Oxford City 11 7 2 2 21:7 23
4 Chester 11 6 2 3 14:9 20
5 South Shields 11 6 2 3 18:17 20
6 King’s Lynn 11 6 1 4 21:15 19
7 Hebburn Town 11 5 3 3 16:19 18
8 Spalding United 11 5 2 4 14:9 17
9 Chorley 11 5 2 4 18:18 17
10 Buxton 11 5 1 5 18:19 16
11 Bedford 11 5 1 5 14:15 16
12 Hednesford 11 4 3 4 18:17 15
13 Marine 11 5 0 6 13:12 15
14 Harborough 11 4 3 4 11:12 15
15 Worksop 11 5 0 6 12:17 15
16 Brackley 11 4 3 4 13:20 15
17 Morecambe 11 4 2 5 15:11 14
18 Merthyr Town 11 3 5 3 13:12 14
19 Scarborough Athletic 11 3 3 5 16:16 12
20 Southport 11 2 3 6 13:21 9
21 Radcliffe 11 3 0 8 13:21 9
22 Telford 11 2 3 6 9:17 9
23 Darlington FC 11 2 2 7 13:22 8
24 Spennymoor 11 1 4 6 12:23 7
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)