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Spalding United vs Worksop

England England

National League North Sir Halley Stewart Playing Field, Spalding
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Cybulski B.
37' Event
Cybulski B.
58' Event
Cybulski B.

AI Match Summary

Spalding United in this National League North matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spalding United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Spalding United
20%
Draws
35%
Worksop
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Spalding United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Worksop have won more games recently than Spalding United.
  • Model gives Spalding United a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Spalding United Clean Sheet 20%
Worksop Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spalding United Worksop
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 15 18
Draws 7 2
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.82 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 National League North
Spalding United vs Worksop
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spalding United Compare

Top Goalscorer Cybulski B.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Worksop Compare

Top Goalscorer Redford V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spalding United 85 / 100
Worksop 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spalding United Worksop

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spalding United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spalding United found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Spalding United remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Worksop conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Spalding United VS Worksop
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Spalding United

(Home)
19 Sept
Spalding United
2 : 0
Hanley Town
12 Sept
Spalding United
2 : 1
Bedford
08 Sept
Spennymoor
1 : 3
Spalding United
05 Sept
Spalding United
2 : 0
Southport
31 Aug
South Shields
1 : 1
Spalding United
Page 1 of 6

Worksop

(Away)
22 Sept
Worksop
5 : 2
Telford
19 Sept
Telford
2 : 2
Worksop
12 Sept
Worksop
2 : 0
Southport
08 Sept
Worksop
1 : 2
Bedford
05 Sept
Marine
0 : 1
Worksop
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hereford 9 7 1 1 21:4 22
2 Oxford City 9 6 1 2 17:6 19
3 Macclesfield 9 5 3 1 12:6 18
4 Spalding United 9 5 2 2 13:6 17
5 Hebburn Town 9 5 2 2 15:15 17
6 South Shields 8 5 2 1 9:10 17
7 Buxton 9 5 1 3 18:14 16
8 Bedford 9 5 0 4 13:13 15
9 Chester 9 4 2 3 9:8 14
10 Morecambe 9 4 1 4 13:8 13
11 Merthyr Town 9 3 4 2 11:9 13
12 King’s Lynn 9 4 1 4 15:15 13
13 Harborough 9 3 3 3 10:11 12
14 Worksop 9 4 0 5 9:12 12
15 Scarborough Athletic 9 3 2 4 14:11 11
16 Chorley 9 3 2 4 14:16 11
17 Marine 9 3 0 6 10:11 9
18 Telford 9 2 3 4 8:10 9
19 Hednesford 9 2 3 4 13:16 9
20 Southport 9 2 2 5 11:18 8
21 Brackley 8 2 2 4 7:16 8
22 Radcliffe 9 2 0 7 8:16 6
23 Darlington FC 9 2 0 7 11:20 6
24 Spennymoor 9 1 3 5 9:19 6
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)